**Recent downward momentum in raw Near Mint sales for the Mega Gengar ex Special Illustration Rare (#284/217 from Ascended Heroes) has anchored trader sentiment toward the Under side of the $1,051.08 line.** The card, illustrated by danciao and released earlier in 2026 as the set’s marquee chase piece, has seen consistent softening, with recent eBay comps clustering between $910 and $1,009 and a documented 23% drop over the past 30 days. Strong initial demand driven by Gengar’s enduring fanbase and striking artwork gave way to typical post-release supply pressure as more product entered circulation, pushing prices into a correction phase typical for modern Special Illustration Rares. No major catalysts—such as new set releases, major tournaments, or graded-population spikes—are scheduled before September 30 that would reverse the trend. Traders appear to view the current levels as elevated relative to recent velocity, making sustained trading above the threshold the less probable outcome by month-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMega Gengar ex Price Over/Under $1,051.08 on September 30?
Mega Gengar ex Price Over/Under $1,051.08 on September 30?
Over
42% chance
NEW
NEW
Sep 30, 2026
Over
42% chance
NEW
NEW
Sep 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Over” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Gengar ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 284/217) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is greater than $1,051.08.
This market will resolve to “Under” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Gengar ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 284/217) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $1,051.08.
This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Mega Gengar ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 284/217) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $1,051.08.
This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered.
If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).**Recent downward momentum in raw Near Mint sales for the Mega Gengar ex Special Illustration Rare (#284/217 from Ascended Heroes) has anchored trader sentiment toward the Under side of the $1,051.08 line.** The card, illustrated by danciao and released earlier in 2026 as the set’s marquee chase piece, has seen consistent softening, with recent eBay comps clustering between $910 and $1,009 and a documented 23% drop over the past 30 days.
Strong initial demand driven by Gengar’s enduring fanbase and striking artwork gave way to typical post-release supply pressure as more product entered circulation, pushing prices into a correction phase typical for modern Special Illustration Rares. No major catalysts—such as new set releases, major tournaments, or graded-population spikes—are scheduled before September 30 that would reverse the trend. Traders appear to view the current levels as elevated relative to recent velocity, making sustained trading above the threshold the less probable outcome by month-end.
This market will resolve to “Over” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Gengar ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 284/217) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is greater than $1,051.08.
This market will resolve to “Under” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Gengar ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 284/217) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $1,051.08.
This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Mega Gengar ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 284/217) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $1,051.08.
This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered.
If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).
This market will resolve to “Under” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Gengar ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 284/217) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $1,051.08.
This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Mega Gengar ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 284/217) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $1,051.08.
This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered.
If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 3:08 PM ET
Volume
$2,342End Date
Oct 1, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 3:08 PM ETResolution Source
https://app.getcollectr.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Over” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Gengar ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 284/217) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is greater than $1,051.08.
This market will resolve to “Under” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Gengar ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 284/217) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $1,051.08.
This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Mega Gengar ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 284/217) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $1,051.08.
This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered.
If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).**Recent downward momentum in raw Near Mint sales for the Mega Gengar ex Special Illustration Rare (#284/217 from Ascended Heroes) has anchored trader sentiment toward the Under side of the $1,051.08 line.** The card, illustrated by danciao and released earlier in 2026 as the set’s marquee chase piece, has seen consistent softening, with recent eBay comps clustering between $910 and $1,009 and a documented 23% drop over the past 30 days.
Strong initial demand driven by Gengar’s enduring fanbase and striking artwork gave way to typical post-release supply pressure as more product entered circulation, pushing prices into a correction phase typical for modern Special Illustration Rares. No major catalysts—such as new set releases, major tournaments, or graded-population spikes—are scheduled before September 30 that would reverse the trend. Traders appear to view the current levels as elevated relative to recent velocity, making sustained trading above the threshold the less probable outcome by month-end.
This market will resolve to “Over” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Gengar ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 284/217) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is greater than $1,051.08.
This market will resolve to “Under” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Gengar ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 284/217) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $1,051.08.
This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Mega Gengar ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 284/217) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $1,051.08.
This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered.
If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).
This market will resolve to “Under” if the Ungraded Price of Mega Gengar ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 284/217) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $1,051.08.
This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Mega Gengar ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 284/217) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $1,051.08.
This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered.
If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).
Volume
$2,342End Date
Oct 1, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 3:08 PM ETResolution Source
https://app.getcollectr.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...**Recent downward momentum in raw Near Mint sales for the Mega Gengar ex Special Illustration Rare (#284/217 from Ascended Heroes) has anchored trader sentiment toward the Under side of the $1,051.08 line.** The card, illustrated by danciao and released earlier in 2026 as the set’s marquee chase piece, has seen consistent softening, with recent eBay comps clustering between $910 and $1,009 and a documented 23% drop over the past 30 days. Strong initial demand driven by Gengar’s enduring fanbase and striking artwork gave way to typical post-release supply pressure as more product entered circulation, pushing prices into a correction phase typical for modern Special Illustration Rares. No major catalysts—such as new set releases, major tournaments, or graded-population spikes—are scheduled before September 30 that would reverse the trend. Traders appear to view the current levels as elevated relative to recent velocity, making sustained trading above the threshold the less probable outcome by month-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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