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icon for Microsoft (MSFT) closes above ___ on May 13?

Microsoft (MSFT) closes above ___ on May 13?

icon for Microsoft (MSFT) closes above ___ on May 13?

Microsoft (MSFT) closes above ___ on May 13?

$2,227 Vol.

May 13, 2026
Polymarket

$2,227 Vol.

Polymarket

$390

$249 Vol.

Yes

$400

$441 Vol.

Yes

$410

$451 Vol.

No

$420

$707 Vol.

No

$430

$379 Vol.

No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on May 13 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."Microsoft (MSFT) share price stands at $408.53 as of mid-afternoon May 13, down 1% from yesterday's $412.66 close amid a broader tech sector pullback driven by AI valuation concerns and warnings on return-on-investment timelines. Trader sentiment reflects caution despite Microsoft's April 29 FY26 Q3 earnings beat, with adjusted EPS of $4.27 topping estimates and AI revenue surging 123% year-over-year, alongside $190 billion in planned 2026 capital spending. Analysts maintain a consensus price target near $562, well above current levels, supported by cloud and Azure growth. Resolution hinges on the 4 p.m. EDT close, ahead of the May 21 ex-dividend date for $0.91 payout.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on May 13 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.

If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.

In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.

The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Volume
$2,227
End Date
May 13, 2026
Market Opened
May 12, 2026, 8:00 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on May 13 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on May 13 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."Microsoft (MSFT) share price stands at $408.53 as of mid-afternoon May 13, down 1% from yesterday's $412.66 close amid a broader tech sector pullback driven by AI valuation concerns and warnings on return-on-investment timelines. Trader sentiment reflects caution despite Microsoft's April 29 FY26 Q3 earnings beat, with adjusted EPS of $4.27 topping estimates and AI revenue surging 123% year-over-year, alongside $190 billion in planned 2026 capital spending. Analysts maintain a consensus price target near $562, well above current levels, supported by cloud and Azure growth. Resolution hinges on the 4 p.m. EDT close, ahead of the May 21 ex-dividend date for $0.91 payout.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on May 13 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.

If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.

In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.

The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Volume
$2,227
End Date
May 13, 2026
Market Opened
May 12, 2026, 8:00 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on May 13 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Microsoft (MSFT) closes above ___ on May 13?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "$390" at 100%, followed by "$400" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Microsoft (MSFT) closes above ___ on May 13?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on May 13, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Microsoft (MSFT) closes above ___ on May 13?," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Microsoft (MSFT) closes above ___ on May 13?" is "$390" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "$400" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Microsoft (MSFT) closes above ___ on May 13?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.