Name: Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of January 12 above___?
Start: 2026-01-09T23:00:14.34Z
End: 2026-01-16T21:00:00Z

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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday) is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.

If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.

The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/history, published under "Historical Prices."

In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.

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Netflix Multi Strikes Weekly

Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of January 12 above___?

Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of November 10 above___?

Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of December 1 above___?

Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of November 17 above___?

Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of November 24 above___?

Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of December 8 above___?

Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of December 15 above___?

Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of December 29 above___?

Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of December 22 above___?

Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of January 5 above___?

As of market creation, Netflix is estimated to release earnings on January 20, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Netflix's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $0.55 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Netflix reports GAAP EPS greater than $0.55 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents. 

If Netflix releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.

If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.” 

Note: This market will resolve based on Netflix’s reported EPS, using the split-adjusted share count reflecting Netflix’s most recent stock split.
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS. 
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.


Will Netflix (NFLX) beat quarterly earnings?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Netflix (directly or through a subsidiary) acquires control of Warner Bros.’ film and TV studios and associated streaming/pay-TV businesses (including HBO / HBO Max and related content libraries), as described in the companies’ December 5, 2025 acquisition announcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If the transaction is terminated, allowed to lapse past its contractual outside date without closing, blocked by regulators, or replaced by an alternative structure in which Netflix does not acquire control of Warner Bros.’ film/TV studios and streaming business, this market will resolve to “No”.

If the acquisition closes on substantially similar terms—even with changes to price, mix of cash/stock, or required divestitures—but Netflix still ends up in control of the Warner Bros film and TV studios and the HBO/HBO Max streaming business, this market will resolve to “Yes”.

Resolution will be based on official company communications and regulatory filings from Netflix and Warner Bros. Discovery (or any successor entities), supplemented as needed by a consensus of reporting from major reputable news outlets.

Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?  

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for SpaceX’s market capitalization on its first trading day is above the value specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.

If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.

Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.

In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for Consensys’ market capitalization on its first trading day is above the value specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.

If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.

Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.

In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Consensys’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.

Consensys IPO closing market cap above $1B?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for Krakens’s market capitalization on its first trading day is above the value specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.

If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.

Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.

In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Kraken’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.

Kraken IPO closing market cap above $16B?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Netflix officially releases a new episode of Stranger Things (i.e., an episode that was not previously available to stream on Netflix) between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, an “episode” must be listed as a distinct episode of Stranger Things on Netflix and be playable for general subscribers in the United States. A behind-the-scenes featurette, documentary, trailer, recap, cast interview, deleted scenes compilation, or other bonus content will not count unless it is clearly presented by Netflix as an official numbered or titled episode of the series.

If Netflix releases an alternate cut, extended cut, or “secret” version of an already-released episode, it will not count unless it is listed as a separate episode entry on Netflix.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the Stranger Things title page on Netflix (episode list and availability), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of January 12 above___?

$30
$6,334 Vol.
100%

$40
$1,185 Vol.
99%

$50
$921 Vol.
92%

$60
$115 Vol.
96%

$70
$455 Vol.
78%

$80
$3,090 Vol.
59%

$90
$13,574 Vol.
55%

$100
$12,419 Vol.
14%

$110
$14,164 Vol.
46%

$120
$425 Vol.
37%

$130
$399 Vol.
<1%

$140
$380 Vol.
<1%

$150
$861 Vol.
<1%

Market Context

Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of January 12 above___?

Rules

Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of January 12 above___?

Market Context

Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of January 12 above___?

About

Related

Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of January 12 above___?

$30$6,334 Vol.100%buy Yes99.9¢buy No0.4¢

$40$1,185 Vol.99%buy Yes99.9¢buy No2.4¢

$50$921 Vol.92%buy Yes99.9¢buy No16.4¢

$60$115 Vol.96%buy Yes99.9¢buy No8.0¢

$70$455 Vol.78%buy Yes100¢buy No44¢

$80$3,090 Vol.59%buy Yes96¢buy No79¢

$90$13,574 Vol.55%buy Yes78¢buy No69¢

$100$12,419 Vol.14%buy Yes16¢buy No88¢

$110$14,164 Vol.46%buy Yes46¢buy No0¢

$120$425 Vol.37%buy Yes72.9¢buy No99.7¢

$130$399 Vol.<1%buy Yes0.5¢buy No99.9¢

$140$380 Vol.<1%buy Yes0.5¢buy No99.9¢

$150$861 Vol.<1%buy Yes0.3¢buy No99.9¢

Market Context

Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of January 12 above___?

Rules

Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of January 12 above___?

Market Context

Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of January 12 above___?

About

Related

$30
$6,334 Vol.
100%

$40
$1,185 Vol.
99%

$50
$921 Vol.
92%

$60
$115 Vol.
96%

$70
$455 Vol.
78%

$80
$3,090 Vol.
59%

$90
$13,574 Vol.
55%

$100
$12,419 Vol.
14%

$110
$14,164 Vol.
46%

$120
$425 Vol.
37%

$130
$399 Vol.
<1%

$140
$380 Vol.
<1%

$150
$861 Vol.
<1%