Connor McDavid leads the trader consensus for the Hart Memorial Trophy at 54.9% implied probability due to his league-leading 138 points and sixth Art Ross Trophy, showcasing unmatched playmaking and speed that propelled the Oilers into the postseason despite roster challenges. Recent finalist announcements on May 8 highlight his case alongside Nikita Kucherov’s 130 points in 76 games that secured Tampa Bay’s playoff spot and Nathan MacKinnon’s 127 points plus Rocket Richard win fueling Colorado’s franchise-record 121-point season. MacKinnon’s team success and Presidents’ Trophy bid support his 14% position, while Kucherov’s assist dominance anchors his 20.6% share. These regular-season performances, combined with historical Hart voting patterns favoring point leaders on competitive clubs, continue shaping market sentiment ahead of the final vote.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedConnor McDavid 54.9%
Nikita Kucherov 25.6%
Nathan MacKinnon 14%
$691,131 Vol.
$691,131 Vol.
Connor McDavid
55%
Nikita Kucherov
22%
Nathan MacKinnon
14%
Connor McDavid 54.9%
Nikita Kucherov 25.6%
Nathan MacKinnon 14%
$691,131 Vol.
$691,131 Vol.
Connor McDavid
55%
Nikita Kucherov
22%
Nathan MacKinnon
14%
If the listed player is not announced as a finalist for the 2025–26 Hart Memorial Trophy, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Oct 22, 2025, 5:33 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.nhl.com/awardsResolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the listed player is not announced as a finalist for the 2025–26 Hart Memorial Trophy, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution Source
https://www.nhl.com/awardsResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Connor McDavid leads the trader consensus for the Hart Memorial Trophy at 54.9% implied probability due to his league-leading 138 points and sixth Art Ross Trophy, showcasing unmatched playmaking and speed that propelled the Oilers into the postseason despite roster challenges. Recent finalist announcements on May 8 highlight his case alongside Nikita Kucherov’s 130 points in 76 games that secured Tampa Bay’s playoff spot and Nathan MacKinnon’s 127 points plus Rocket Richard win fueling Colorado’s franchise-record 121-point season. MacKinnon’s team success and Presidents’ Trophy bid support his 14% position, while Kucherov’s assist dominance anchors his 20.6% share. These regular-season performances, combined with historical Hart voting patterns favoring point leaders on competitive clubs, continue shaping market sentiment ahead of the final vote.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions