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Sports·2026 NHL Playoffs

NHL: 2026 Conn Smythe Trophy Winner

icon for NHL: 2026 Conn Smythe Trophy Winner
Sports·2026 NHL Playoffs

NHL: 2026 Conn Smythe Trophy Winner

Nathan MacKinnon 40%

Cale Makar 22%

Mitch Marner 13%

Jack Eichel 10%

Polymarket
NEW

Nathan MacKinnon 40%

Cale Makar 22%

Mitch Marner 13%

Jack Eichel 10%

Polymarket
NEW

Nathan MacKinnon

$1,056 Vol.

34%

Cale Makar

$0 Vol.

22%

Mitch Marner

$0 Vol.

13%

Jack Eichel

$17 Vol.

10%

Sebastian Aho

$20 Vol.

7%

Nick Suzuki

$0 Vol.

8%

Seth Jarvis

$0 Vol.

6%

Cole Caufield

$0 Vol.

6%

Rasmus Dahlin

$100 Vol.

5%

Alex Tuch

$0 Vol.

5%

Martin Necas

$0 Vol.

5%

Dan Vladar

$0 Vol.

1%

Leon Draisaitl

$5 Vol.

1%

David Pastrnak

$100 Vol.

1%

Clayton Keller

$5 Vol.

<1%

Linus Ullmark

$71 Vol.

<1%

Quinn Hughes

$364 Vol.

<1%

Jake Oettinger

$5 Vol.

<1%

Sidney Crosby

$446 Vol.

<1%

Nikita Kucherov

$213 Vol.

<1%

Dylan Guenther

$5 Vol.

<1%

Cutter Guanthier

$310 Vol.

<1%

Connor McDavid

$191 Vol.

<1%

Andrei Vasilevskiy

$1,042 Vol.

<1%

Anze Kopitar

$0 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 Conn Smythe Trophy for the 2025-26 NHL Playoffs. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NHL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2025-26 NHL Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Nathan MacKinnon leads the Conn Smythe market at 33% implied probability because the Colorado Avalanche, as Presidents’ Trophy winners, advanced to the Western Conference Final after dispatching the Kings and Wild in five games each. His regular-season scoring leadership and playoff production position him ahead of teammate Cale Makar at 22%, whose elite defensive play and transition offense have anchored Colorado’s top pairing. Mitch Marner at 12.5% and Jack Eichel at 10% reflect their respective clubs’ deeper runs, with Marner contributing secondary scoring and Eichel driving Vegas’s pace through the Pacific bracket. Recent form in the second round, including Colorado’s 4-1 series win over Minnesota and Carolina’s sweep of Philadelphia, has concentrated trader sentiment on players from the two strongest remaining contenders while downplaying longer-shot candidates such as Nick Suzuki and Sebastian Aho.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 Conn Smythe Trophy for the 2025-26 NHL Playoffs.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NHL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2025-26 NHL Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$3,949
End Date
Jul 1, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 17, 2026, 2:03 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 Conn Smythe Trophy for the 2025-26 NHL Playoffs. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NHL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2025-26 NHL Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 Conn Smythe Trophy for the 2025-26 NHL Playoffs. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NHL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2025-26 NHL Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Nathan MacKinnon leads the Conn Smythe market at 33% implied probability because the Colorado Avalanche, as Presidents’ Trophy winners, advanced to the Western Conference Final after dispatching the Kings and Wild in five games each. His regular-season scoring leadership and playoff production position him ahead of teammate Cale Makar at 22%, whose elite defensive play and transition offense have anchored Colorado’s top pairing. Mitch Marner at 12.5% and Jack Eichel at 10% reflect their respective clubs’ deeper runs, with Marner contributing secondary scoring and Eichel driving Vegas’s pace through the Pacific bracket. Recent form in the second round, including Colorado’s 4-1 series win over Minnesota and Carolina’s sweep of Philadelphia, has concentrated trader sentiment on players from the two strongest remaining contenders while downplaying longer-shot candidates such as Nick Suzuki and Sebastian Aho.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 Conn Smythe Trophy for the 2025-26 NHL Playoffs.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NHL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2025-26 NHL Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$3,949
End Date
Jul 1, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 17, 2026, 2:03 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 Conn Smythe Trophy for the 2025-26 NHL Playoffs. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NHL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2025-26 NHL Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"NHL: 2026 Conn Smythe Trophy Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 25 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Nathan MacKinnon" at 34%, followed by "Cale Makar" at 22%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 34¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 34% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"NHL: 2026 Conn Smythe Trophy Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 17, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "NHL: 2026 Conn Smythe Trophy Winner," browse the 25 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "NHL: 2026 Conn Smythe Trophy Winner" is "Nathan MacKinnon" at 34%, meaning the market assigns a 34% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Cale Makar" at 22%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "NHL: 2026 Conn Smythe Trophy Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.