Skip to main content
icon for NHL: 2026 Conn Smythe Trophy Winner
Sports·2026 NHL Playoffs

NHL: 2026 Conn Smythe Trophy Winner

icon for NHL: 2026 Conn Smythe Trophy Winner
Sports·2026 NHL Playoffs

NHL: 2026 Conn Smythe Trophy Winner

Nathan MacKinnon 40%

Linus Ullmark 39.1%

Seth Jarvis 37.8%

Cale Makar 22%

Polymarket
NEW

Nathan MacKinnon 40%

Linus Ullmark 39.1%

Seth Jarvis 37.8%

Cale Makar 22%

Polymarket
NEW

Nathan MacKinnon

$1,056 Vol.

32%

Linus Ullmark

$76 Vol.

39%

Seth Jarvis

$0 Vol.

38%

Cale Makar

$0 Vol.

22%

Mitch Marner

$0 Vol.

13%

Sebastian Aho

$20 Vol.

6%

Nick Suzuki

$0 Vol.

8%

Cole Caufield

$0 Vol.

6%

Rasmus Dahlin

$100 Vol.

5%

Alex Tuch

$0 Vol.

5%

Martin Necas

$0 Vol.

5%

Jack Eichel

$33 Vol.

10%

David Pastrnak

$100 Vol.

1%

Dan Vladar

$0 Vol.

1%

Leon Draisaitl

$5 Vol.

1%

Quinn Hughes

$369 Vol.

<1%

Clayton Keller

$5 Vol.

<1%

Jake Oettinger

$5 Vol.

<1%

Sidney Crosby

$446 Vol.

<1%

Nikita Kucherov

$213 Vol.

<1%

Dylan Guenther

$5 Vol.

<1%

Cutter Guanthier

$310 Vol.

<1%

Connor McDavid

$191 Vol.

<1%

Andrei Vasilevskiy

$1,042 Vol.

<1%

Anze Kopitar

$0 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 Conn Smythe Trophy for the 2025-26 NHL Playoffs. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NHL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2025-26 NHL Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.In the NHL playoffs, trader consensus shows a tightly bunched race for the Conn Smythe Trophy with goaltender Linus Ullmark and forward Seth Jarvis holding the top implied probabilities near 39% and 38%. This reflects strong regular-season form from the Ottawa Senators' netminder and Carolina Hurricanes' depth scoring, alongside Nathan MacKinnon and Cale Makar benefiting from the Colorado Avalanche's consistent contention and power-play efficiency. Recent developments including injury recoveries, lineup adjustments, and team standings have kept several contenders within striking distance, as historical patterns show the award often goes to players delivering in high-stakes series rather than regular-season standouts alone.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 Conn Smythe Trophy for the 2025-26 NHL Playoffs.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NHL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2025-26 NHL Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$3,959
End Date
Jul 1, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 17, 2026, 2:03 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 Conn Smythe Trophy for the 2025-26 NHL Playoffs. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NHL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2025-26 NHL Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 Conn Smythe Trophy for the 2025-26 NHL Playoffs. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NHL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2025-26 NHL Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.In the NHL playoffs, trader consensus shows a tightly bunched race for the Conn Smythe Trophy with goaltender Linus Ullmark and forward Seth Jarvis holding the top implied probabilities near 39% and 38%. This reflects strong regular-season form from the Ottawa Senators' netminder and Carolina Hurricanes' depth scoring, alongside Nathan MacKinnon and Cale Makar benefiting from the Colorado Avalanche's consistent contention and power-play efficiency. Recent developments including injury recoveries, lineup adjustments, and team standings have kept several contenders within striking distance, as historical patterns show the award often goes to players delivering in high-stakes series rather than regular-season standouts alone.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 Conn Smythe Trophy for the 2025-26 NHL Playoffs.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NHL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2025-26 NHL Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$3,959
End Date
Jul 1, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 17, 2026, 2:03 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 Conn Smythe Trophy for the 2025-26 NHL Playoffs. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NHL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2025-26 NHL Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Related

icon for Will Andrei Vasilevskiy win the 2025–2026 NHL Vezina Trophy?

Will Andrei Vasilevskiy win the 2025–2026 NHL Vezina Trophy?

89%
icon for Will Paul Skenes win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?

Will Paul Skenes win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?

37%
icon for NHL: Stanley Cup Winner USA or Canada?

NHL: Stanley Cup Winner USA or Canada?

92%
USA

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"NHL: 2026 Conn Smythe Trophy Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 25 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Linus Ullmark" at 39%, followed by "Seth Jarvis" at 38%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 39¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 39% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"NHL: 2026 Conn Smythe Trophy Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 17, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "NHL: 2026 Conn Smythe Trophy Winner," browse the 25 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "NHL: 2026 Conn Smythe Trophy Winner" is "Linus Ullmark" at 39%, meaning the market assigns a 39% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Seth Jarvis" at 38%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "NHL: 2026 Conn Smythe Trophy Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.