OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing in June 2026 and latest private valuation of $852 billion from its record $122 billion March funding round set the baseline for IPO pricing expectations. Traders are monitoring revenue growth—recently reported near $2 billion monthly with enterprise comprising over 40%—against persistent unprofitability and heavy AI infrastructure spending that could pressure margins at debut. Sam Altman’s push for a $1 trillion target contrasts with advisers favoring a 2027 listing after SpaceX’s post-IPO share decline, introducing timing risk that could compress or support the closing market cap depending on broader tech sentiment and Treasury yields. A secondary $7 billion tender offer recently provided liquidity without altering fundamentals.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$1,519,183 Vol.
$1,519,183 Vol.
Dec 31, 2027
$800B
88%
$1T
76%
$1.2T
61%
$1.4T
44%
$1.6T
42%
$1,519,183 Vol.
$1,519,183 Vol.
Dec 31, 2027
$800B
$107,262 Vol.
88%
$1T
$1,046,720 Vol.
76%
$1.2T
$248,684 Vol.
61%
$1.4T
$67,569 Vol.
44%
$1.6T
$48,948 Vol.
42%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing in June 2026 and latest private valuation of $852 billion from its record $122 billion March funding round set the baseline for IPO pricing expectations. Traders are monitoring revenue growth—recently reported near $2 billion monthly with enterprise comprising over 40%—against persistent unprofitability and heavy AI infrastructure spending that could pressure margins at debut. Sam Altman’s push for a $1 trillion target contrasts with advisers favoring a 2027 listing after SpaceX’s post-IPO share decline, introducing timing risk that could compress or support the closing market cap depending on broader tech sentiment and Treasury yields. A secondary $7 billion tender offer recently provided liquidity without altering fundamentals.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
Market Opened: Jan 30, 2026, 7:25 PM ET
Volume
$1,519,183End Date
Dec 31, 2027Market Opened
Jan 30, 2026, 7:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing in June 2026 and latest private valuation of $852 billion from its record $122 billion March funding round set the baseline for IPO pricing expectations. Traders are monitoring revenue growth—recently reported near $2 billion monthly with enterprise comprising over 40%—against persistent unprofitability and heavy AI infrastructure spending that could pressure margins at debut. Sam Altman’s push for a $1 trillion target contrasts with advisers favoring a 2027 listing after SpaceX’s post-IPO share decline, introducing timing risk that could compress or support the closing market cap depending on broader tech sentiment and Treasury yields. A secondary $7 billion tender offer recently provided liquidity without altering fundamentals.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
Volume
$1,519,183End Date
Dec 31, 2027Market Opened
Jan 30, 2026, 7:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing in June 2026 and latest private valuation of $852 billion from its record $122 billion March funding round set the baseline for IPO pricing expectations. Traders are monitoring revenue growth—recently reported near $2 billion monthly with enterprise comprising over 40%—against persistent unprofitability and heavy AI infrastructure spending that could pressure margins at debut. Sam Altman’s push for a $1 trillion target contrasts with advisers favoring a 2027 listing after SpaceX’s post-IPO share decline, introducing timing risk that could compress or support the closing market cap depending on broader tech sentiment and Treasury yields. A secondary $7 billion tender offer recently provided liquidity without altering fundamentals.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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