Skip to main content

To trade in the US, go to polymarket.us

icon for The Game Awards: Best Independent Game

The Game Awards: Best Independent Game

icon for The Game Awards: Best Independent Game

The Game Awards: Best Independent Game

Mina the Hollower 40%

Big Walk 22.4%

Mewgenics 15%

Cairn 4.4%

Polymarket

$57,973 Vol.

Mina the Hollower 40%

Big Walk 22.4%

Mewgenics 15%

Cairn 4.4%

Polymarket

$57,973 Vol.

Mina the Hollower

$10,712 Vol.

40%

Big Walk

$9,954 Vol.

22%

Mewgenics

$7,512 Vol.

15%

Cairn

$1,420 Vol.

4%

Order of the Sinking Star

$1,105 Vol.

3%

Esoteric Ebb

$1,000 Vol.

3%

Phonopolis

$702 Vol.

2%

Fields of Mistria

$618 Vol.

2%

Witchbrook

$711 Vol.

2%

Mouse: P.I. For Hire

$1,168 Vol.

2%

Mixtape

$688 Vol.

2%

Meccha Chameleon

$14,203 Vol.

2%

Tenebris Somnia

$620 Vol.

1%

Replaced

$962 Vol.

1%

MIO: Memories in Orbit

$834 Vol.

1%

Reanimal

$649 Vol.

1%

Vampire Crawlers

$555 Vol.

1%

Neverway

$1,051 Vol.

<1%

ZERO PARADES: For Dead Spies

$539 Vol.

<1%

Titanium Court

$533 Vol.

<1%

inKONBINI: One Store. Many Stories

$641 Vol.

<1%

Grave Seasons

$674 Vol.

<1%

MOLE

$627 Vol.

<1%

Coffee Talk Tokyo

$498 Vol.

<1%

The Game Awards are presented annually to honor achievements in the video game industry. The 2026 Game Awards are currently scheduled to be presented on December 10, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed video game that wins the 2026 Game Award for Best Independent Game. If a game is not officially nominated for the 2026 Game Award for Best Independent Game when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated game whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from The Game Awards, including data from their website (e.g., https://thegameawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Mina the Hollower leads The Game Awards Best Independent Game market at 39% implied probability, followed by Big Walk at 22.4% and Mewgenics at 15%, reflecting a fragmented field where no title has locked in dominant momentum. High Metacritic scores above 90 for the top contenders, strong Steam performance, and sales milestones have fueled trader consensus, alongside the category's historical tilt toward innovative design and critical darlings over pure commercial hits. Big Walk's recent August release and co-op puzzle acclaim provide fresh upside, while Mina benefits from Yacht Club Games' Shovel Knight pedigree and broad critical warmth. Upcoming precursor awards and nominations in the fall will likely sharpen probabilities in this unpredictable race.

The Game Awards are presented annually to honor achievements in the video game industry. The 2026 Game Awards are currently scheduled to be presented on December 10, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed video game that wins the 2026 Game Award for Best Independent Game.

If a game is not officially nominated for the 2026 Game Award for Best Independent Game when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated game whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from The Game Awards, including data from their website (e.g., https://thegameawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Game Awards are presented annually to honor achievements in the video game industry. The 2026 Game Awards are currently scheduled to be presented on December 10, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed video game that wins the 2026 Game Award for Best Independent Game. If a game is not officially nominated for the 2026 Game Award for Best Independent Game when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated game whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from The Game Awards, including data from their website (e.g., https://thegameawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$57,973
End Date
Dec 10, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 6:33 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Game Awards are presented annually to honor achievements in the video game industry. The 2026 Game Awards are currently scheduled to be presented on December 10, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed video game that wins the 2026 Game Award for Best Independent Game. If a game is not officially nominated for the 2026 Game Award for Best Independent Game when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated game whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from The Game Awards, including data from their website (e.g., https://thegameawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Mina the Hollower leads The Game Awards Best Independent Game market at 39% implied probability, followed by Big Walk at 22.4% and Mewgenics at 15%, reflecting a fragmented field where no title has locked in dominant momentum. High Metacritic scores above 90 for the top contenders, strong Steam performance, and sales milestones have fueled trader consensus, alongside the category's historical tilt toward innovative design and critical darlings over pure commercial hits. Big Walk's recent August release and co-op puzzle acclaim provide fresh upside, while Mina benefits from Yacht Club Games' Shovel Knight pedigree and broad critical warmth. Upcoming precursor awards and nominations in the fall will likely sharpen probabilities in this unpredictable race.

The Game Awards are presented annually to honor achievements in the video game industry. The 2026 Game Awards are currently scheduled to be presented on December 10, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed video game that wins the 2026 Game Award for Best Independent Game.

If a game is not officially nominated for the 2026 Game Award for Best Independent Game when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated game whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from The Game Awards, including data from their website (e.g., https://thegameawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Game Awards are presented annually to honor achievements in the video game industry. The 2026 Game Awards are currently scheduled to be presented on December 10, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed video game that wins the 2026 Game Award for Best Independent Game. If a game is not officially nominated for the 2026 Game Award for Best Independent Game when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated game whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from The Game Awards, including data from their website (e.g., https://thegameawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$57,973
End Date
Dec 10, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 6:33 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

Related

icon for Will Arknights: Endfield win Best Mobile Game at the 2026 Game Awards?

Will Arknights: Endfield win Best Mobile Game at the 2026 Game Awards?

30%
icon for Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?

Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?

68%
icon for Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Best Game Direction at the 2026 Game Awards?

Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Best Game Direction at the 2026 Game Awards?

43%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"The Game Awards: Best Independent Game" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 24 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Mina the Hollower" at 40%, followed by "Big Walk" at 22%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 40¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 40% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "The Game Awards: Best Independent Game" has generated $58K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 5, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "The Game Awards: Best Independent Game," browse the 24 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "The Game Awards: Best Independent Game" is "Mina the Hollower" at 40%, meaning the market assigns a 40% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Big Walk" at 22%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "The Game Awards: Best Independent Game" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.