President Trump’s February 2026 directive to federal agencies, including the Department of War and the Office of the Director of National Intelligence, to review and declassify unresolved records on unidentified anomalous phenomena (UAP), UFOs, and extraterrestrial matters initiated the current process. The first public tranche of files, photos, videos, and reports appeared on May 8, 2026, via a dedicated war.gov/UFO portal under the Presidential Unsealing and Reporting System for UAP Encounters. Officials described the effort as unprecedented in scale, with additional materials scheduled for release on a rolling basis every few weeks as interagency reviews conclude. These steps reflect executive-branch coordination on transparency following years of congressional interest and prior limited Pentagon disclosures, directly shaping trader assessments of whether further declassifications will occur within any specified timeframe.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$1,402,051 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
May 15
100%
$1,402,051 Vol.
May 15
$1,286,126 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components.
Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count.
The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President Trump’s February 2026 directive to federal agencies, including the Department of War and the Office of the Director of National Intelligence, to review and declassify unresolved records on unidentified anomalous phenomena (UAP), UFOs, and extraterrestrial matters initiated the current process. The first public tranche of files, photos, videos, and reports appeared on May 8, 2026, via a dedicated war.gov/UFO portal under the Presidential Unsealing and Reporting System for UAP Encounters. Officials described the effort as unprecedented in scale, with additional materials scheduled for release on a rolling basis every few weeks as interagency reviews conclude. These steps reflect executive-branch coordination on transparency following years of congressional interest and prior limited Pentagon disclosures, directly shaping trader assessments of whether further declassifications will occur within any specified timeframe.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components.
Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count.
The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components.
Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count.
The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Market Opened: May 8, 2026, 12:48 PM ET
Volume
$1,402,051End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
May 8, 2026, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components.
Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count.
The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President Trump’s February 2026 directive to federal agencies, including the Department of War and the Office of the Director of National Intelligence, to review and declassify unresolved records on unidentified anomalous phenomena (UAP), UFOs, and extraterrestrial matters initiated the current process. The first public tranche of files, photos, videos, and reports appeared on May 8, 2026, via a dedicated war.gov/UFO portal under the Presidential Unsealing and Reporting System for UAP Encounters. Officials described the effort as unprecedented in scale, with additional materials scheduled for release on a rolling basis every few weeks as interagency reviews conclude. These steps reflect executive-branch coordination on transparency following years of congressional interest and prior limited Pentagon disclosures, directly shaping trader assessments of whether further declassifications will occur within any specified timeframe.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components.
Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count.
The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components.
Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count.
The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$1,402,051End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
May 8, 2026, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
President Trump’s February 2026 directive to federal agencies, including the Department of War and the Office of the Director of National Intelligence, to review and declassify unresolved records on unidentified anomalous phenomena (UAP), UFOs, and extraterrestrial matters initiated the current process. The first public tranche of files, photos, videos, and reports appeared on May 8, 2026, via a dedicated war.gov/UFO portal under the Presidential Unsealing and Reporting System for UAP Encounters. Officials described the effort as unprecedented in scale, with additional materials scheduled for release on a rolling basis every few weeks as interagency reviews conclude. These steps reflect executive-branch coordination on transparency following years of congressional interest and prior limited Pentagon disclosures, directly shaping trader assessments of whether further declassifications will occur within any specified timeframe.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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