Recent Tesla share price action around the $420–$445 band reflects mixed Q1 2026 results, with revenue rising 16% year-over-year yet deliveries missing estimates, offset by expanding gross margins and renewed emphasis on AI-driven autonomy. Trader consensus pricing across multiple closing buckets near 48% each underscores high near-term uncertainty, with momentum tied to FSD regulatory progress, Cybercab production timelines, and broader equity volatility. Key upcoming catalysts include any fresh updates on Optimus or energy storage deployments that could sway sentiment before the May 22 close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated<$420 48%
$425-$430 48%
$455-$460 48%
$430-$435 48%
<$420
48%
$420-$425
12%
$425-$430
48%
$430-$435
48%
$435-$440
11%
$440-$445
48%
$445-$450
11%
$450-$455
10%
$455-$460
48%
$460-$465
10%
>$465
46%
<$420 48%
$425-$430 48%
$455-$460 48%
$430-$435 48%
<$420
48%
$420-$425
12%
$425-$430
48%
$430-$435
48%
$435-$440
11%
$440-$445
48%
$445-$450
11%
$450-$455
10%
$455-$460
48%
$460-$465
10%
>$465
46%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Market Opened: May 15, 2026, 6:09 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Tesla share price action around the $420–$445 band reflects mixed Q1 2026 results, with revenue rising 16% year-over-year yet deliveries missing estimates, offset by expanding gross margins and renewed emphasis on AI-driven autonomy. Trader consensus pricing across multiple closing buckets near 48% each underscores high near-term uncertainty, with momentum tied to FSD regulatory progress, Cybercab production timelines, and broader equity volatility. Key upcoming catalysts include any fresh updates on Optimus or energy storage deployments that could sway sentiment before the May 22 close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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