Apple's shares have traded near record levels around $300 following its fiscal Q2 earnings release, which highlighted resilient iPhone demand and accelerating services revenue growth. Trader positioning in the multi-outcome market reflects this momentum, with the highest implied probability assigned to a close above $320, driven by recent breakout momentum and analyst target revisions. At the same time, notable probability remains on a sharp reversal below $275, underscoring elevated volatility expectations ahead of the upcoming trading week. Key near-term catalysts include any updates on chip supply agreements and broader tech sector sentiment, which could shift the range-bound probabilities as the Friday close on May 22 approaches.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$300-$305 24%
$295-$300 22%
$290-$295 17%
$305-$310 17%
NEW
NEW
May 22, 2026
<$275
11%
$275-$280
8%
$280-$285
8%
$285-$290
10%
$290-$295
17%
$295-$300
22%
$300-$305
24%
$305-$310
17%
$310-$315
10%
$315-$320
8%
>$320
11%
$300-$305 24%
$295-$300 22%
$290-$295 17%
$305-$310 17%
NEW
NEW
May 22, 2026
<$275
$0 Vol.
11%
$275-$280
$0 Vol.
8%
$280-$285
$0 Vol.
8%
$285-$290
$0 Vol.
10%
$290-$295
$0 Vol.
17%
$295-$300
$0 Vol.
22%
$300-$305
$0 Vol.
24%
$305-$310
$0 Vol.
17%
$310-$315
$0 Vol.
10%
$315-$320
$0 Vol.
8%
>$320
$0 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Apple (AAPL) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Apple (AAPL) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/history, published under "Historical Prices."Apple's shares have traded near record levels around $300 following its fiscal Q2 earnings release, which highlighted resilient iPhone demand and accelerating services revenue growth. Trader positioning in the multi-outcome market reflects this momentum, with the highest implied probability assigned to a close above $320, driven by recent breakout momentum and analyst target revisions. At the same time, notable probability remains on a sharp reversal below $275, underscoring elevated volatility expectations ahead of the upcoming trading week. Key near-term catalysts include any updates on chip supply agreements and broader tech sector sentiment, which could shift the range-bound probabilities as the Friday close on May 22 approaches.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Apple (AAPL) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Apple (AAPL) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Apple (AAPL) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Market Opened: May 15, 2026, 6:01 PM ET
Volume
$0End Date
May 22, 2026Market Opened
May 15, 2026, 6:01 PM ETResolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Apple (AAPL) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Apple (AAPL) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/history, published under "Historical Prices."Apple's shares have traded near record levels around $300 following its fiscal Q2 earnings release, which highlighted resilient iPhone demand and accelerating services revenue growth. Trader positioning in the multi-outcome market reflects this momentum, with the highest implied probability assigned to a close above $320, driven by recent breakout momentum and analyst target revisions. At the same time, notable probability remains on a sharp reversal below $275, underscoring elevated volatility expectations ahead of the upcoming trading week. Key near-term catalysts include any updates on chip supply agreements and broader tech sector sentiment, which could shift the range-bound probabilities as the Friday close on May 22 approaches.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Apple (AAPL) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Apple (AAPL) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Apple (AAPL) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Volume
$0End Date
May 22, 2026Market Opened
May 15, 2026, 6:01 PM ETResolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Apple's shares have traded near record levels around $300 following its fiscal Q2 earnings release, which highlighted resilient iPhone demand and accelerating services revenue growth. Trader positioning in the multi-outcome market reflects this momentum, with the highest implied probability assigned to a close above $320, driven by recent breakout momentum and analyst target revisions. At the same time, notable probability remains on a sharp reversal below $275, underscoring elevated volatility expectations ahead of the upcoming trading week. Key near-term catalysts include any updates on chip supply agreements and broader tech sector sentiment, which could shift the range-bound probabilities as the Friday close on May 22 approaches.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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