Netflix (NFLX) shares hover around $88, down 18% over the past month following the April 16 Q1 earnings beat—revenue up 16% to $12.25 billion and EPS of $1.23 topping estimates—tempered by softer Q2 guidance, co-CEO Reed Hastings' exit, and intensifying streaming competition. Trader consensus on prediction markets prices in elevated downside risk, with 57% implied probability of intraday lows at or below $85 during May regular trading hours, reflecting post-earnings profit-taking and broader communication services sector weakness amid risk-off sentiment. Analysts maintain strong buy ratings and a $115 average price target, signaling 30% upside potential backed by 12-14% 2026 revenue growth forecasts, ad revenue doubling to $3 billion, and a $55 billion share buyback. Key near-term catalysts include mid-May ad upfronts and July 16 Q2 earnings, as the month-end resolution nears.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNFLX$86.94$86.94 -6.33%
$51,584 Vol.
Jun 1, 2026
↑ $125
2%
↑ $120
1%
↑ $115
3%
↑ $110
3%
↑ $105
5%
↑ $100
7%
↑ $95
17%
↓ $85
70%
↓ $80
16%
↓ $75
5%
↓ $70
3%
↓ $65
3%
↓ $60
2%
NFLX$86.94$86.94 -6.33%
$51,584 Vol.
↑ $125
$223 Vol.
2%
↑ $120
$207 Vol.
1%
↑ $115
$0 Vol.
3%
↑ $110
$190 Vol.
3%
↑ $105
$661 Vol.
5%
↑ $100
$2,771 Vol.
7%
↑ $95
$13,401 Vol.
17%
↓ $85
$19,190 Vol.
70%
↓ $80
$10,821 Vol.
16%
↓ $75
$51 Vol.
5%
↓ $70
$220 Vol.
3%
↓ $65
$0 Vol.
3%
↓ $60
$165 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during May 2026, any 1-minute candle for Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) has a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NFLX%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NFLX%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during May 2026, any 1-minute candle for Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) has a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NFLX%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NFLX%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.Netflix (NFLX) shares hover around $88, down 18% over the past month following the April 16 Q1 earnings beat—revenue up 16% to $12.25 billion and EPS of $1.23 topping estimates—tempered by softer Q2 guidance, co-CEO Reed Hastings' exit, and intensifying streaming competition. Trader consensus on prediction markets prices in elevated downside risk, with 57% implied probability of intraday lows at or below $85 during May regular trading hours, reflecting post-earnings profit-taking and broader communication services sector weakness amid risk-off sentiment. Analysts maintain strong buy ratings and a $115 average price target, signaling 30% upside potential backed by 12-14% 2026 revenue growth forecasts, ad revenue doubling to $3 billion, and a $55 billion share buyback. Key near-term catalysts include mid-May ad upfronts and July 16 Q2 earnings, as the month-end resolution nears.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during May 2026, any 1-minute candle for Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) has a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NFLX%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NFLX%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NFLX%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NFLX%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Market Opened: Apr 25, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Volume
$51,584End Date
Jun 1, 2026Market Opened
Apr 25, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NFLX%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during May 2026, any 1-minute candle for Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) has a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NFLX%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NFLX%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during May 2026, any 1-minute candle for Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) has a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NFLX%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NFLX%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.Netflix (NFLX) shares hover around $88, down 18% over the past month following the April 16 Q1 earnings beat—revenue up 16% to $12.25 billion and EPS of $1.23 topping estimates—tempered by softer Q2 guidance, co-CEO Reed Hastings' exit, and intensifying streaming competition. Trader consensus on prediction markets prices in elevated downside risk, with 57% implied probability of intraday lows at or below $85 during May regular trading hours, reflecting post-earnings profit-taking and broader communication services sector weakness amid risk-off sentiment. Analysts maintain strong buy ratings and a $115 average price target, signaling 30% upside potential backed by 12-14% 2026 revenue growth forecasts, ad revenue doubling to $3 billion, and a $55 billion share buyback. Key near-term catalysts include mid-May ad upfronts and July 16 Q2 earnings, as the month-end resolution nears.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during May 2026, any 1-minute candle for Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) has a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NFLX%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NFLX%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NFLX%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NFLX%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Volume
$51,584End Date
Jun 1, 2026Market Opened
Apr 25, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NFLX%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...Netflix (NFLX) shares hover around $88, down 18% over the past month following the April 16 Q1 earnings beat—revenue up 16% to $12.25 billion and EPS of $1.23 topping estimates—tempered by softer Q2 guidance, co-CEO Reed Hastings' exit, and intensifying streaming competition. Trader consensus on prediction markets prices in elevated downside risk, with 57% implied probability of intraday lows at or below $85 during May regular trading hours, reflecting post-earnings profit-taking and broader communication services sector weakness amid risk-off sentiment. Analysts maintain strong buy ratings and a $115 average price target, signaling 30% upside potential backed by 12-14% 2026 revenue growth forecasts, ad revenue doubling to $3 billion, and a $55 billion share buyback. Key near-term catalysts include mid-May ad upfronts and July 16 Q2 earnings, as the month-end resolution nears.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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Frequently Asked Questions