Rocket Lab's first-quarter 2026 results, released May 7, delivered a revenue beat of $200.4 million against $189.7 million consensus estimates alongside a record $2.2 billion backlog and improved gross margins of 38.2 percent, fueling a 34 percent single-day surge and pushing shares to fresh all-time highs near $133. This momentum reflects accelerating launch demand, a major Department of Defense hypersonics contract, and the 1,000th Rutherford engine milestone, with Q2 guidance of $225–240 million revenue signaling faster profitability than prior analyst models anticipated. Traders are pricing in sustained defense-sector tailwinds and production scaling into the May 18 week, though elevated valuation multiples leave room for volatility around upcoming launch cadence and broader market risk appetite.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNEW
May 22, 2026
↑ $136
51%
↑ $134
53%
↑ $132
57%
↑ $130
60%
↑ $128
63%
↑ $126
67%
↑ $124
73%
↓ $122
72%
↓ $120
69%
↓ $118
65%
↓ $116
62%
↓ $114
59%
↓ $112
58%
↓ $110
53%
$0.00 Vol.
↑ $136
$0 Vol.
51%
↑ $134
$0 Vol.
53%
↑ $132
$0 Vol.
57%
↑ $130
$0 Vol.
60%
↑ $128
$0 Vol.
63%
↑ $126
$0 Vol.
67%
↑ $124
$0 Vol.
73%
↓ $122
$0 Vol.
72%
↓ $120
$0 Vol.
69%
↓ $118
$0 Vol.
65%
↓ $116
$0 Vol.
62%
↓ $114
$0 Vol.
59%
↓ $112
$0 Vol.
58%
↓ $110
$0 Vol.
53%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during the week of May 18 2026, any 1-minute candle for Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) has a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.RKLB%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.RKLB%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during the week of May 18 2026, any 1-minute candle for Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) has a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.RKLB%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.RKLB%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.Rocket Lab's first-quarter 2026 results, released May 7, delivered a revenue beat of $200.4 million against $189.7 million consensus estimates alongside a record $2.2 billion backlog and improved gross margins of 38.2 percent, fueling a 34 percent single-day surge and pushing shares to fresh all-time highs near $133. This momentum reflects accelerating launch demand, a major Department of Defense hypersonics contract, and the 1,000th Rutherford engine milestone, with Q2 guidance of $225–240 million revenue signaling faster profitability than prior analyst models anticipated. Traders are pricing in sustained defense-sector tailwinds and production scaling into the May 18 week, though elevated valuation multiples leave room for volatility around upcoming launch cadence and broader market risk appetite.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during the week of May 18 2026, any 1-minute candle for Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) has a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.RKLB%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.RKLB%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.RKLB%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.RKLB%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Market Opened: May 15, 2026, 6:01 PM ET
Volume
$0End Date
May 22, 2026Market Opened
May 15, 2026, 6:01 PM ETResolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.RKLB%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during the week of May 18 2026, any 1-minute candle for Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) has a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.RKLB%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.RKLB%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during the week of May 18 2026, any 1-minute candle for Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) has a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.RKLB%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.RKLB%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.Rocket Lab's first-quarter 2026 results, released May 7, delivered a revenue beat of $200.4 million against $189.7 million consensus estimates alongside a record $2.2 billion backlog and improved gross margins of 38.2 percent, fueling a 34 percent single-day surge and pushing shares to fresh all-time highs near $133. This momentum reflects accelerating launch demand, a major Department of Defense hypersonics contract, and the 1,000th Rutherford engine milestone, with Q2 guidance of $225–240 million revenue signaling faster profitability than prior analyst models anticipated. Traders are pricing in sustained defense-sector tailwinds and production scaling into the May 18 week, though elevated valuation multiples leave room for volatility around upcoming launch cadence and broader market risk appetite.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during the week of May 18 2026, any 1-minute candle for Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) has a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.RKLB%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.RKLB%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.RKLB%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.RKLB%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Volume
$0End Date
May 22, 2026Market Opened
May 15, 2026, 6:01 PM ETResolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.RKLB%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...Rocket Lab's first-quarter 2026 results, released May 7, delivered a revenue beat of $200.4 million against $189.7 million consensus estimates alongside a record $2.2 billion backlog and improved gross margins of 38.2 percent, fueling a 34 percent single-day surge and pushing shares to fresh all-time highs near $133. This momentum reflects accelerating launch demand, a major Department of Defense hypersonics contract, and the 1,000th Rutherford engine milestone, with Q2 guidance of $225–240 million revenue signaling faster profitability than prior analyst models anticipated. Traders are pricing in sustained defense-sector tailwinds and production scaling into the May 18 week, though elevated valuation multiples leave room for volatility around upcoming launch cadence and broader market risk appetite.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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Frequently Asked Questions