**Evening news broadcasts, led by ABC World News Tonight, anchored viewership during the Aug. 10-16 window, with episodes consistently drawing 7.5–8.6 million P2+ viewers across multiple nights.** This steady performance in a quiet summer stretch—absent major live sports or blockbuster premieres—positions the 8.5m–9m bracket as the clear market favorite at 51% implied probability. Acquired library titles and Netflix originals like the Little House on the Prairie remake generated strong streaming minutes but appear less likely to top the single-week linear or total-viewer tally under prevailing Nielsen-style measurement. Traders appear to discount upside from late-week releases or viral moments, keeping lower brackets (7m–7.5m at 18%) as the next most probable outcomes while capping tail risk above 10m. The market will resolve once final weekly data confirms the peak program.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated# Views of Most Viewed TV Show This Week (Aug 10-16)
8.5m–9m 51%
<7m 11%
8m–8.5m 10%
9m–9.5m 10%
<7m
11%
7m–7.5m
19%
7.5m–8m
2%
8m–8.5m
10%
8.5m–9m
51%
9m–9.5m
10%
9.5m–10m
10%
10m+
1%
8.5m–9m 51%
<7m 11%
8m–8.5m 10%
9m–9.5m 10%
<7m
11%
7m–7.5m
19%
7.5m–8m
2%
8m–8.5m
10%
8.5m–9m
51%
9m–9.5m
10%
9.5m–10m
10%
10m+
1%
This market will resolve according to the number of U.S. viewers (Persons 2+ average total viewers, P2+) of the highest viewed program for the Week of August 10 - August 16.
This market will resolve based on the first official estimate reported by Nielsen. Any later revisions or retractions will have no bearing on resolution.
If the data for the specified week is not released in its entirety by 11:59 PM ET on the second Thursday following the specified week, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the data for the specified week remains partially published (i.e. excluding certain days of the week) by that time, this market will resolve based on the viewership data available at that point.
If the reported number of viewers falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve according to Nielsen’s P2+ viewership statistic for the specified week, as reported on the Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart, regardless of any future changes in methodology. If Nielsen ceases to publish the P2+ viewership statistic on the Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Nielsen, specifically their P2+ viewership statistic as reported on the Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart (see: https://www.nielsen.com/data-center/top-ten/#television).
Market Opened: Aug 14, 2026, 3:25 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.nielsen.com/data-center/top-ten/#televisionResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of U.S. viewers (Persons 2+ average total viewers, P2+) of the highest viewed program for the Week of August 10 - August 16.
This market will resolve based on the first official estimate reported by Nielsen. Any later revisions or retractions will have no bearing on resolution.
If the data for the specified week is not released in its entirety by 11:59 PM ET on the second Thursday following the specified week, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the data for the specified week remains partially published (i.e. excluding certain days of the week) by that time, this market will resolve based on the viewership data available at that point.
If the reported number of viewers falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve according to Nielsen’s P2+ viewership statistic for the specified week, as reported on the Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart, regardless of any future changes in methodology. If Nielsen ceases to publish the P2+ viewership statistic on the Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Nielsen, specifically their P2+ viewership statistic as reported on the Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart (see: https://www.nielsen.com/data-center/top-ten/#television).
Resolution Source
https://www.nielsen.com/data-center/top-ten/#televisionResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Evening news broadcasts, led by ABC World News Tonight, anchored viewership during the Aug. 10-16 window, with episodes consistently drawing 7.5–8.6 million P2+ viewers across multiple nights.** This steady performance in a quiet summer stretch—absent major live sports or blockbuster premieres—positions the 8.5m–9m bracket as the clear market favorite at 51% implied probability. Acquired library titles and Netflix originals like the Little House on the Prairie remake generated strong streaming minutes but appear less likely to top the single-week linear or total-viewer tally under prevailing Nielsen-style measurement. Traders appear to discount upside from late-week releases or viral moments, keeping lower brackets (7m–7.5m at 18%) as the next most probable outcomes while capping tail risk above 10m. The market will resolve once final weekly data confirms the peak program.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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