The closely matched pricing across West Virginia's 2026 U.S. Senate turnout bins reflects uncertainty around participation in a low-competition race featuring incumbent Republican Shelley Moore Capito against Democrat Rachel Fetty Anderson. The state's heavily Republican registration advantage, historical patterns of subdued off-year turnout, and the May primary's modest participation levels have kept expectations fluid, with traders pricing in limited mobilization on both sides. Upcoming factors such as early voting trends, candidate field operations, or broader national political dynamics could widen spreads if they boost or suppress engagement before November 3.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWest Virginia Senate Election: Turnout
West Virginia Senate Election: Turnout
450K-500K 45%
500K-550K 45%
550K-600K 45%
600K-650K 45%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
<400K
43%
400K-450K
44%
450K-500K
45%
500K-550K
45%
550K-600K
45%
600K-650K
45%
650K+
45%
450K-500K 45%
500K-550K 45%
550K-600K 45%
600K-650K 45%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
<400K
$0 Vol.
43%
400K-450K
$0 Vol.
44%
450K-500K
$0 Vol.
45%
500K-550K
$0 Vol.
45%
550K-600K
$0 Vol.
45%
600K-650K
$0 Vol.
45%
650K+
$0 Vol.
45%
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from West Virginia.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from West Virginia, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The closely matched pricing across West Virginia's 2026 U.S. Senate turnout bins reflects uncertainty around participation in a low-competition race featuring incumbent Republican Shelley Moore Capito against Democrat Rachel Fetty Anderson. The state's heavily Republican registration advantage, historical patterns of subdued off-year turnout, and the May primary's modest participation levels have kept expectations fluid, with traders pricing in limited mobilization on both sides. Upcoming factors such as early voting trends, candidate field operations, or broader national political dynamics could widen spreads if they boost or suppress engagement before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from West Virginia.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from West Virginia, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from West Virginia, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 18, 2026, 10:27 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Aug 18, 2026, 10:27 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from West Virginia.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from West Virginia, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The closely matched pricing across West Virginia's 2026 U.S. Senate turnout bins reflects uncertainty around participation in a low-competition race featuring incumbent Republican Shelley Moore Capito against Democrat Rachel Fetty Anderson. The state's heavily Republican registration advantage, historical patterns of subdued off-year turnout, and the May primary's modest participation levels have kept expectations fluid, with traders pricing in limited mobilization on both sides. Upcoming factors such as early voting trends, candidate field operations, or broader national political dynamics could widen spreads if they boost or suppress engagement before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from West Virginia.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from West Virginia, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from West Virginia, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$0End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Aug 18, 2026, 10:27 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The closely matched pricing across West Virginia's 2026 U.S. Senate turnout bins reflects uncertainty around participation in a low-competition race featuring incumbent Republican Shelley Moore Capito against Democrat Rachel Fetty Anderson. The state's heavily Republican registration advantage, historical patterns of subdued off-year turnout, and the May primary's modest participation levels have kept expectations fluid, with traders pricing in limited mobilization on both sides. Upcoming factors such as early voting trends, candidate field operations, or broader national political dynamics could widen spreads if they boost or suppress engagement before November 3.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedRelated
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