Market icon

What day will Trump announce Fed Chair nominee?

$175,072 Vol.

January 19 26.1%

No announcement by Jan 31 15%

January 27 14%

January 28 8.2%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Rules

This market will resolve according to the next date (ET) on which the Trump administration announces a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve.

An announcement from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to nominate a specific individual for Chair of the Federal Reserve will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurs.

Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee or future nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates, will not qualify. Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify.

A formal presidential nomination of an individual to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, made on a listed date, will also resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

If no qualifying announcement is made by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No announcement by Jan 31”.

The resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from Donald Trump or the Trump administration and official information from the U.S. Senate.
Volume
$175,072
End Date
Jan 31, 2026
Created At
Jan 2, 2026, 10:39 PM UTC
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$175,072 Vol.

Market icon

What day will Trump announce Fed Chair nominee?

January 19 26.1%

No announcement by Jan 31 15%

January 27 14%

January 28 8.2%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

January 11

$1,758 Vol.

<1%

January 12

$585 Vol.

4%

January 13

$1,210 Vol.

1%

January 14

$824 Vol.

1%

January 15

$397 Vol.

3%

January 16

$1,368 Vol.

3%

January 17

$1,274 Vol.

2%

January 18

$576 Vol.

3%

January 19

$2,573 Vol.

26%

January 20

$419 Vol.

2%

January 21

$369 Vol.

3%

January 22

$341 Vol.

2%

January 23

$402 Vol.

4%

January 24

$530 Vol.

3%

January 25

$552 Vol.

2%

January 26

$442 Vol.

4%

January 27

$19,709 Vol.

14%

January 28

$365 Vol.

8%

January 29

$425 Vol.

4%

January 30

$409 Vol.

4%

January 31

$1,377 Vol.

2%

No announcement by Jan 31

$8,804 Vol.

15%

About

Volume
$175,072
End Date
Jan 31, 2026
Created At
Jan 2, 2026, 10:39 PM UTC
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Beware of external links.