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icon for Who will be UFC Flyweight champion at the end of 2026?

Who will be UFC Flyweight champion at the end of 2026?

icon for Who will be UFC Flyweight champion at the end of 2026?

Who will be UFC Flyweight champion at the end of 2026?

Joshua Van 92.2%

Manel Kape 3.2%

Alexandre Pantoja <1%

Tatsuro Taira <1%

Polymarket

$1,194,050 Vol.

Joshua Van 92.2%

Manel Kape 3.2%

Alexandre Pantoja <1%

Tatsuro Taira <1%

Polymarket

$1,194,050 Vol.

Joshua Van

$12,828 Vol.

92%

Manel Kape

$5,455 Vol.

3%

Alexandre Pantoja

$12,887 Vol.

<1%

Tatsuro Taira

$1,849 Vol.

<1%

Brandon Royval

$1,189 Vol.

<1%

Brandon Moreno

$1,426 Vol.

<1%

Amir Albazi

$790,115 Vol.

<1%

Asu Almabayev

$58,867 Vol.

<1%

Kyoji Horiguchi

$1,470 Vol.

<1%

Tim Elliott

$306,210 Vol.

<1%

Steve Erceg

$1,752 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Flyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).Joshua Van solidified his position as the undisputed UFC flyweight champion with a dominant unanimous decision victory over Alexandre Pantoja in the UFC 331 main event on September 19, 2026, marking his second successful title defense after an earlier injury-shortened win and a fifth-round stoppage of Tatsuro Taira. The 24-year-old Myanmar native’s superior striking volume, takedown defense, and fight IQ have produced an eight-fight win streak, establishing him as the division’s clear leader according to current rankings and recent form. With Manel Kape positioned as the next logical contender but unlikely to secure a title opportunity before December, trader consensus reflects the low probability of any immediate upset or roster shift altering the outcome by year’s end. A late injury or scheduling surprise remains the primary variable that could open the door for others.

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Flyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Flyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Volume
$1,194,050
End Date
Jan 1, 2027
Market Opened
Jan 2, 2026, 5:45 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Flyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).Joshua Van solidified his position as the undisputed UFC flyweight champion with a dominant unanimous decision victory over Alexandre Pantoja in the UFC 331 main event on September 19, 2026, marking his second successful title defense after an earlier injury-shortened win and a fifth-round stoppage of Tatsuro Taira. The 24-year-old Myanmar native’s superior striking volume, takedown defense, and fight IQ have produced an eight-fight win streak, establishing him as the division’s clear leader according to current rankings and recent form. With Manel Kape positioned as the next logical contender but unlikely to secure a title opportunity before December, trader consensus reflects the low probability of any immediate upset or roster shift altering the outcome by year’s end. A late injury or scheduling surprise remains the primary variable that could open the door for others.

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Flyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Flyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Volume
$1,194,050
End Date
Jan 1, 2027
Market Opened
Jan 2, 2026, 5:45 PM ET

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Who will be UFC Flyweight champion at the end of 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Joshua Van" at 92%, followed by "Manel Kape" at 3%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 92¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 92% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Who will be UFC Flyweight champion at the end of 2026?" has generated $1.2 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 2, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Who will be UFC Flyweight champion at the end of 2026?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Who will be UFC Flyweight champion at the end of 2026?" is "Joshua Van" at 92%, meaning the market assigns a 92% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Manel Kape" at 3%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Who will be UFC Flyweight champion at the end of 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.