Petr Yan's status as the reigning UFC bantamweight champion after defeating Merab Dvalishvili in their December 2025 title fight at UFC 323 drives the 73.5% implied probability for a trilogy rematch. Recent comments from both fighters and UFC management confirm an immediate next bout once Dvalishvili recovers from injury, with an August 2026 target emerging as the likely window after earlier spring plans shifted. This rematch clause and the high-stakes redemption narrative for the former champion outweigh alternatives, keeping Sean O'Malley at 13.7% as a potential future matchup and limiting Umar Nurmagomedov or Song Yadong to single-digit chances tied to division depth and scheduling. The market reflects trader consensus on the UFC's priority for this rivalry over other contenders.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMerab Dvalishvili 74%
Sean O’Malley 13.8%
Umar Nurmagomedov 5.6%
Song Yadong 1.0%
$1,039,752 Vol.
$1,039,752 Vol.
Merab Dvalishvili
74%
Sean O’Malley
14%
Umar Nurmagomedov
6%
Song Yadong
1%
Dominick Cruz
1%
Alexander Volkanovski
1%
Pedro Munhoz
1%
Payton Talbott
1%
Alexandre Pantoja
1%
Deiveson Figueiredo
<1%
Rob Font
<1%
Ricky Simón
<1%
Cory Sandhagen
<1%
Henry Cejudo
<1%
Merab Dvalishvili 74%
Sean O’Malley 13.8%
Umar Nurmagomedov 5.6%
Song Yadong 1.0%
$1,039,752 Vol.
$1,039,752 Vol.
Merab Dvalishvili
74%
Sean O’Malley
14%
Umar Nurmagomedov
6%
Song Yadong
1%
Dominick Cruz
1%
Alexander Volkanovski
1%
Pedro Munhoz
1%
Payton Talbott
1%
Alexandre Pantoja
1%
Deiveson Figueiredo
<1%
Rob Font
<1%
Ricky Simón
<1%
Cory Sandhagen
<1%
Henry Cejudo
<1%
Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Petr Yan is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.
Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.
If Yan is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/).
Market Opened: Dec 8, 2025, 5:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Petr Yan is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.
Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.
If Yan is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Petr Yan's status as the reigning UFC bantamweight champion after defeating Merab Dvalishvili in their December 2025 title fight at UFC 323 drives the 73.5% implied probability for a trilogy rematch. Recent comments from both fighters and UFC management confirm an immediate next bout once Dvalishvili recovers from injury, with an August 2026 target emerging as the likely window after earlier spring plans shifted. This rematch clause and the high-stakes redemption narrative for the former champion outweigh alternatives, keeping Sean O'Malley at 13.7% as a potential future matchup and limiting Umar Nurmagomedov or Song Yadong to single-digit chances tied to division depth and scheduling. The market reflects trader consensus on the UFC's priority for this rivalry over other contenders.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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