Petr Yan’s return from back surgery has locked in a bantamweight title trilogy with Merab Dvalishvili as the clear next bout, driving the 73.5% market price through repeated confirmations from both fighters and UFC scheduling signals pointing to an August slot. Dvalishvili’s recent comments on recovery timelines and direct conversations with Yan reinforce the immediate rematch priority after Yan reclaimed the belt at UFC 323. Secondary options such as Sean O’Malley sit at 13.7% on the strength of prior title history and ongoing contender positioning, while Umar Nurmagomedov and Song Yadong trail further behind at single-digit implied probabilities amid the division’s deeper rankings. This pricing reflects trader consensus on the most probable matchmaking path once Yan clears medical clearance in summer 2026.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMerab Dvalishvili 74%
Sean O’Malley 13.7%
Umar Nurmagomedov 5.6%
Song Yadong 1.0%
$1,039,752 Vol.
$1,039,752 Vol.
Merab Dvalishvili
74%
Sean O’Malley
14%
Umar Nurmagomedov
6%
Song Yadong
1%
Dominick Cruz
1%
Alexander Volkanovski
1%
Pedro Munhoz
1%
Payton Talbott
1%
Alexandre Pantoja
1%
Deiveson Figueiredo
<1%
Rob Font
<1%
Ricky Simón
<1%
Cory Sandhagen
<1%
Henry Cejudo
<1%
Merab Dvalishvili 74%
Sean O’Malley 13.7%
Umar Nurmagomedov 5.6%
Song Yadong 1.0%
$1,039,752 Vol.
$1,039,752 Vol.
Merab Dvalishvili
74%
Sean O’Malley
14%
Umar Nurmagomedov
6%
Song Yadong
1%
Dominick Cruz
1%
Alexander Volkanovski
1%
Pedro Munhoz
1%
Payton Talbott
1%
Alexandre Pantoja
1%
Deiveson Figueiredo
<1%
Rob Font
<1%
Ricky Simón
<1%
Cory Sandhagen
<1%
Henry Cejudo
<1%
Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Petr Yan is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.
Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.
If Yan is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/).
Market Opened: Dec 8, 2025, 5:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Petr Yan is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.
Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.
If Yan is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Petr Yan’s return from back surgery has locked in a bantamweight title trilogy with Merab Dvalishvili as the clear next bout, driving the 73.5% market price through repeated confirmations from both fighters and UFC scheduling signals pointing to an August slot. Dvalishvili’s recent comments on recovery timelines and direct conversations with Yan reinforce the immediate rematch priority after Yan reclaimed the belt at UFC 323. Secondary options such as Sean O’Malley sit at 13.7% on the strength of prior title history and ongoing contender positioning, while Umar Nurmagomedov and Song Yadong trail further behind at single-digit implied probabilities amid the division’s deeper rankings. This pricing reflects trader consensus on the most probable matchmaking path once Yan clears medical clearance in summer 2026.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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