Market icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

$169,134,582 Vol.

Kevin Warsh 45%

Kevin Hassett 33%

Christopher Waller 11.3%

Rick Rieder 3.3%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Rules

This market will resolve according to the next individual Donald Trump, as President of the United States, formally nominates to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

Acting or interim appointments will not count unless the individual is formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$169,134,582
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Aug 5, 2025, 5:21 PM UTC
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Beware of external links.

$169,134,582 Vol.

Market icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Warsh 45%

Kevin Hassett 33%

Christopher Waller 11.3%

Rick Rieder 3.3%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Kevin Warsh

$4,533,044 Vol.

45%

Kevin Hassett

$8,672,567 Vol.

33%

Christopher Waller

$3,649,495 Vol.

11%

Rick Rieder

$2,866,743 Vol.

3%

Michelle Bowman

$3,371,658 Vol.

2%

Scott Bessent

$4,014,458 Vol.

2%

Judy Shelton

$4,153,179 Vol.

1%

Stephen Miran

$3,234,750 Vol.

<1%

David Zervos

$2,323,114 Vol.

<1%

No one nominated before 2027

$2,113,754 Vol.

<1%

Howard Lutnick

$1,647,665 Vol.

<1%

David Malpass

$2,747,809 Vol.

<1%

Jerome Powell

$3,768,995 Vol.

<1%

Bill Pulte

$20,738,840 Vol.

<1%

Arthur Laffer

$9,478,154 Vol.

<1%

Larry Kudlow

$9,860,165 Vol.

<1%

Ron Paul

$4,634,729 Vol.

<1%

James Bullard

$1,835,542 Vol.

<1%

Marc Sumerlin

$2,592,905 Vol.

<1%

Lorie K. Logan

$1,959,330 Vol.

<1%

Philip Jefferson

$4,549,889 Vol.

<1%

Janet Yellen

$20,570,840 Vol.

<1%

Larry Lindsey

$5,274,042 Vol.

<1%

Barron Trump

$18,130,336 Vol.

<1%

Donald Trump

$22,407,576 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume
$169,134,582
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Aug 5, 2025, 5:21 PM UTC
shield

Beware of external links.