Carlos Alcaraz's withdrawal from the 2026 French Open due to a right wrist injury, announced April 24 after his Australian Open triumph over Novak Djokovic, has solidified trader consensus at 99.5% for "None" achieving a calendar Grand Slam—the feat of sweeping all four majors in one year, absent in men's tennis since Rod Laver's 1969 sweep. As the sole Australian Open champion and recent completer of the career Grand Slam at age 22, Alcaraz held the only viable path, but the clay-court event's imminent start (late May) amid his ongoing recovery and burnout concerns renders three straight titles at Roland Garros, Wimbledon, and US Open improbable. Recent updates emphasize cautious rehab, with historical surface transitions, fatigue, and upsets further entrenching the market's skepticism, though an unforeseen last-minute entry and dominance could theoretically shift odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$334,484 Vol.
$334,484 Vol.
None
100%
Carlos Alcaraz
<1%
$334,484 Vol.
$334,484 Vol.
None
100%
Carlos Alcaraz
<1%
This market resolves to the single male player who wins the Men’s Singles titles at all four Grand Slam tournaments in 2026. The relevant 2026 Grand Slams are the Men’s Singles tournaments in the 2026 Australian Open, French Open, U.S. Open, and Wimbledon.
For the purpose of this market, a tournament victory is valid regardless of whether the final was won via a walkover, a mid-match retirement, or a standard completed match.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to achieve a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026 (e.g. Alcaraz does not win the 2026 Australian Open) this market will resolve immediately to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for anyone to achieve a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026 this market will resolve immediately to "None".
Otherwise, this market will resolve when the results of the final 2026 Grand Slam are official.
If any of the 2026 Grand Slam Men’s Singles Tournaments are cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “None”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the organizers of the Grand Slam tournaments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jan 6, 2026, 2:43 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market resolves to the single male player who wins the Men’s Singles titles at all four Grand Slam tournaments in 2026. The relevant 2026 Grand Slams are the Men’s Singles tournaments in the 2026 Australian Open, French Open, U.S. Open, and Wimbledon.
For the purpose of this market, a tournament victory is valid regardless of whether the final was won via a walkover, a mid-match retirement, or a standard completed match.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to achieve a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026 (e.g. Alcaraz does not win the 2026 Australian Open) this market will resolve immediately to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for anyone to achieve a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026 this market will resolve immediately to "None".
Otherwise, this market will resolve when the results of the final 2026 Grand Slam are official.
If any of the 2026 Grand Slam Men’s Singles Tournaments are cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “None”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the organizers of the Grand Slam tournaments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Carlos Alcaraz's withdrawal from the 2026 French Open due to a right wrist injury, announced April 24 after his Australian Open triumph over Novak Djokovic, has solidified trader consensus at 99.5% for "None" achieving a calendar Grand Slam—the feat of sweeping all four majors in one year, absent in men's tennis since Rod Laver's 1969 sweep. As the sole Australian Open champion and recent completer of the career Grand Slam at age 22, Alcaraz held the only viable path, but the clay-court event's imminent start (late May) amid his ongoing recovery and burnout concerns renders three straight titles at Roland Garros, Wimbledon, and US Open improbable. Recent updates emphasize cautious rehab, with historical surface transitions, fatigue, and upsets further entrenching the market's skepticism, though an unforeseen last-minute entry and dominance could theoretically shift odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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