Name: Will MicroStrategy announce holding 680k+ BTC by January 31?
Start: 2025-12-30T20:17:01.969573Z
End: 2026-02-01T05:00:00Z

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This market will resolve to “Yes” if MicroStrategy Incorporated or Michael Saylor officially announce that the company’s total Bitcoin holdings are equal to or greater than the number specified in the title at any point by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from MicroStrategy or Michael Saylor as to their total BTC holdings.

For reference, MicroStrategy’s reported BTC holdings can be tracked at: https://www.strategy.com/purchases

Will MicroStrategy announce holding 680k+ BTC by January 31?

Will MicroStrategy announce holding 800k+ BTC by December 31, 2026?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if BIP-360 is implemented on the Bitcoin network by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

The resolution source will be the Bitcoin blockchain, in addition to a consensus of credible reporting.

Bitcoin BIP-360 implemented in 2026?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any wallet labeled as belonging to Satoshi Nakamoto on Arkham’s Intel Explorer shows an “Outflow” or “Swaps” transaction at any time between January 9, 2026, 1:00 PM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

The resolution source for this market is Arkham’s Intel Explorer, specifically the entity page for Satoshi Nakamoto available at https://intel.arkm.com/explorer/entity/satoshi-nakamoto

If Arkham becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible sources.




Will MicroStrategy announce holding 680k+ BTC by January 31?

Order Book

Market Context

Will MicroStrategy announce holding 680k+ BTC by January 31?

Rules

Will MicroStrategy announce holding 680k+ BTC by January 31?

Order Book

Market Context

Will MicroStrategy announce holding 680k+ BTC by January 31?

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