The ongoing Senate impeachment trial of Vice President Sara Duterte, which opened in July 2026 after House approval of articles citing misuse of confidential funds, unexplained wealth via SALN discrepancies, and related charges, remains closely balanced due to Senate composition and procedural disputes. Trader sentiment reflects Duterte allies among senator-judges, questions over the two-thirds conviction threshold amid detained or unavailable members, and the prosecution's shift to documentary evidence including pending bank records due September 17. These factors sustain uncertainty over whether 16 votes from the full 24-member body will be required or adjusted for participation. Key upcoming developments include oral arguments on the voting rule, further evidence on asset disclosures, and any shifts in alliances or Supreme Court rulings that could alter the path to removal and disqualification from public office.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWill the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte?
Will the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte?
48% chance
$12,651 Vol.
$12,651 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
48% chance
$12,651 Vol.
$12,651 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Senate of the Philippines convicts Sara Duterte of any of the articles of impeachment passed by the House of Representatives of the Philippines in May, 2026 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte.
The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.The ongoing Senate impeachment trial of Vice President Sara Duterte, which opened in July 2026 after House approval of articles citing misuse of confidential funds, unexplained wealth via SALN discrepancies, and related charges, remains closely balanced due to Senate composition and procedural disputes. Trader sentiment reflects Duterte allies among senator-judges, questions over the two-thirds conviction threshold amid detained or unavailable members, and the prosecution's shift to documentary evidence including pending bank records due September 17. These factors sustain uncertainty over whether 16 votes from the full 24-member body will be required or adjusted for participation. Key upcoming developments include oral arguments on the voting rule, further evidence on asset disclosures, and any shifts in alliances or Supreme Court rulings that could alter the path to removal and disqualification from public office.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Senate of the Philippines convicts Sara Duterte of any of the articles of impeachment passed by the House of Representatives of the Philippines in May, 2026 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte.
The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.
This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte.
The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.
Market Opened: May 21, 2026, 1:37 PM ET
Volume
$12,651End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
May 21, 2026, 1:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Senate of the Philippines convicts Sara Duterte of any of the articles of impeachment passed by the House of Representatives of the Philippines in May, 2026 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte.
The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.The ongoing Senate impeachment trial of Vice President Sara Duterte, which opened in July 2026 after House approval of articles citing misuse of confidential funds, unexplained wealth via SALN discrepancies, and related charges, remains closely balanced due to Senate composition and procedural disputes. Trader sentiment reflects Duterte allies among senator-judges, questions over the two-thirds conviction threshold amid detained or unavailable members, and the prosecution's shift to documentary evidence including pending bank records due September 17. These factors sustain uncertainty over whether 16 votes from the full 24-member body will be required or adjusted for participation. Key upcoming developments include oral arguments on the voting rule, further evidence on asset disclosures, and any shifts in alliances or Supreme Court rulings that could alter the path to removal and disqualification from public office.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Senate of the Philippines convicts Sara Duterte of any of the articles of impeachment passed by the House of Representatives of the Philippines in May, 2026 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte.
The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.
This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte.
The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.
Volume
$12,651End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
May 21, 2026, 1:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The ongoing Senate impeachment trial of Vice President Sara Duterte, which opened in July 2026 after House approval of articles citing misuse of confidential funds, unexplained wealth via SALN discrepancies, and related charges, remains closely balanced due to Senate composition and procedural disputes. Trader sentiment reflects Duterte allies among senator-judges, questions over the two-thirds conviction threshold amid detained or unavailable members, and the prosecution's shift to documentary evidence including pending bank records due September 17. These factors sustain uncertainty over whether 16 votes from the full 24-member body will be required or adjusted for participation. Key upcoming developments include oral arguments on the voting rule, further evidence on asset disclosures, and any shifts in alliances or Supreme Court rulings that could alter the path to removal and disqualification from public office.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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