Traders assign an 89.5% implied probability that South Dakota Governor Kristi Noem will avoid impeachment in 2026, reflecting Republican supermajority control of the state legislature and the absence of any formal proceedings, articles of impeachment, or bipartisan legislative momentum. No major scandals, ethics investigations, or policy disputes have prompted calls for removal, consistent with the historical rarity of successful gubernatorial impeachments absent broad consensus. The current legislative calendar focuses on appropriations and routine oversight rather than extraordinary measures, leaving no near-term catalysts that would alter this trader consensus.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedKristi Noem impeached in 2026?
Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?
$17,632 Vol.
$17,632 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
$17,632 Vol.
$17,632 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of United States Secretary of Homeland Security Kristi Noem, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Traders assign an 89.5% implied probability that South Dakota Governor Kristi Noem will avoid impeachment in 2026, reflecting Republican supermajority control of the state legislature and the absence of any formal proceedings, articles of impeachment, or bipartisan legislative momentum. No major scandals, ethics investigations, or policy disputes have prompted calls for removal, consistent with the historical rarity of successful gubernatorial impeachments absent broad consensus. The current legislative calendar focuses on appropriations and routine oversight rather than extraordinary measures, leaving no near-term catalysts that would alter this trader consensus.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of United States Secretary of Homeland Security Kristi Noem, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Market Opened: Jan 19, 2026, 3:19 PM ET
Volume
$17,632End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jan 19, 2026, 3:19 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of United States Secretary of Homeland Security Kristi Noem, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Traders assign an 89.5% implied probability that South Dakota Governor Kristi Noem will avoid impeachment in 2026, reflecting Republican supermajority control of the state legislature and the absence of any formal proceedings, articles of impeachment, or bipartisan legislative momentum. No major scandals, ethics investigations, or policy disputes have prompted calls for removal, consistent with the historical rarity of successful gubernatorial impeachments absent broad consensus. The current legislative calendar focuses on appropriations and routine oversight rather than extraordinary measures, leaving no near-term catalysts that would alter this trader consensus.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of United States Secretary of Homeland Security Kristi Noem, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Volume
$17,632End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jan 19, 2026, 3:19 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Traders assign an 89.5% implied probability that South Dakota Governor Kristi Noem will avoid impeachment in 2026, reflecting Republican supermajority control of the state legislature and the absence of any formal proceedings, articles of impeachment, or bipartisan legislative momentum. No major scandals, ethics investigations, or policy disputes have prompted calls for removal, consistent with the historical rarity of successful gubernatorial impeachments absent broad consensus. The current legislative calendar focuses on appropriations and routine oversight rather than extraordinary measures, leaving no near-term catalysts that would alter this trader consensus.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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