Gold prices have come under pressure entering the week of September 14, 2026, trading near $4,280–$4,300 per ounce after falling for three straight weeks and hitting a five-week low. The dominant near-term driver is a sharp repricing of Federal Reserve policy: hotter-than-expected August CPI (3.4% y/y, with core rising 0.3% m/m) combined with surging oil prices above $100–$107 per barrel amid Middle East supply risks have lifted market-implied odds of a 25-basis-point rate hike at the September FOMC meeting to roughly 85–90%. Higher real yields and a firmer dollar raise the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding gold, while sticky inflation and energy-driven price pressures reinforce expectations for tighter policy through year-end. The Wednesday FOMC decision and updated dot plot represent the key catalyst, with any hawkish signals likely to extend near-term downside pressure despite longer-term central bank buying support.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$13,075 Vol.
Sep 18, 2026
↑ $4,650
3%
↑ $4,600
5%
↑ $4,550
7%
↑ $4,500
15%
↑ $4,450
24%
↑ $4,400
48%
↑ $4,350
74%
↓ $4,300
94%
↓ $4,250
60%
↓ $4,200
35%
↓ $4,150
16%
↓ $4,100
7%
↓ $4,050
6%
↓ $4,000
4%
$13,075 Vol.
↑ $4,650
$30 Vol.
3%
↑ $4,600
$420 Vol.
5%
↑ $4,550
$0 Vol.
7%
↑ $4,500
$420 Vol.
15%
↑ $4,450
$740 Vol.
24%
↑ $4,400
$489 Vol.
48%
↑ $4,350
$0 Vol.
74%
↓ $4,300
$0 Vol.
94%
↓ $4,250
$2,032 Vol.
60%
↓ $4,200
$1,542 Vol.
35%
↓ $4,150
$959 Vol.
16%
↓ $4,100
$704 Vol.
7%
↓ $4,050
$539 Vol.
6%
↓ $4,000
$726 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of the week of September 14 2026, any 1-minute candle for Gold (XAUUSD) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Gold (XAUUSD) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Gold (XAUUSD) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the relevant CME COMEX futures contract for the underlying metal—COMEX Gold Futures (GC)—may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.Gold prices have come under pressure entering the week of September 14, 2026, trading near $4,280–$4,300 per ounce after falling for three straight weeks and hitting a five-week low. The dominant near-term driver is a sharp repricing of Federal Reserve policy: hotter-than-expected August CPI (3.4% y/y, with core rising 0.3% m/m) combined with surging oil prices above $100–$107 per barrel amid Middle East supply risks have lifted market-implied odds of a 25-basis-point rate hike at the September FOMC meeting to roughly 85–90%. Higher real yields and a firmer dollar raise the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding gold, while sticky inflation and energy-driven price pressures reinforce expectations for tighter policy through year-end. The Wednesday FOMC decision and updated dot plot represent the key catalyst, with any hawkish signals likely to extend near-term downside pressure despite longer-term central bank buying support.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of the week of September 14 2026, any 1-minute candle for Gold (XAUUSD) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Gold (XAUUSD) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Gold (XAUUSD) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the relevant CME COMEX futures contract for the underlying metal—COMEX Gold Futures (GC)—may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Gold (XAUUSD) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Gold (XAUUSD) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the relevant CME COMEX futures contract for the underlying metal—COMEX Gold Futures (GC)—may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Market Opened: Sep 11, 2026, 6:01 PM ET
Volume
$13,075End Date
Sep 18, 2026Market Opened
Sep 11, 2026, 6:01 PM ETResolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of the week of September 14 2026, any 1-minute candle for Gold (XAUUSD) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Gold (XAUUSD) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Gold (XAUUSD) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the relevant CME COMEX futures contract for the underlying metal—COMEX Gold Futures (GC)—may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.Gold prices have come under pressure entering the week of September 14, 2026, trading near $4,280–$4,300 per ounce after falling for three straight weeks and hitting a five-week low. The dominant near-term driver is a sharp repricing of Federal Reserve policy: hotter-than-expected August CPI (3.4% y/y, with core rising 0.3% m/m) combined with surging oil prices above $100–$107 per barrel amid Middle East supply risks have lifted market-implied odds of a 25-basis-point rate hike at the September FOMC meeting to roughly 85–90%. Higher real yields and a firmer dollar raise the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding gold, while sticky inflation and energy-driven price pressures reinforce expectations for tighter policy through year-end. The Wednesday FOMC decision and updated dot plot represent the key catalyst, with any hawkish signals likely to extend near-term downside pressure despite longer-term central bank buying support.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of the week of September 14 2026, any 1-minute candle for Gold (XAUUSD) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Gold (XAUUSD) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Gold (XAUUSD) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the relevant CME COMEX futures contract for the underlying metal—COMEX Gold Futures (GC)—may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Gold (XAUUSD) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Gold (XAUUSD) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the relevant CME COMEX futures contract for the underlying metal—COMEX Gold Futures (GC)—may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Volume
$13,075End Date
Sep 18, 2026Market Opened
Sep 11, 2026, 6:01 PM ETResolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...Gold prices have come under pressure entering the week of September 14, 2026, trading near $4,280–$4,300 per ounce after falling for three straight weeks and hitting a five-week low. The dominant near-term driver is a sharp repricing of Federal Reserve policy: hotter-than-expected August CPI (3.4% y/y, with core rising 0.3% m/m) combined with surging oil prices above $100–$107 per barrel amid Middle East supply risks have lifted market-implied odds of a 25-basis-point rate hike at the September FOMC meeting to roughly 85–90%. Higher real yields and a firmer dollar raise the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding gold, while sticky inflation and energy-driven price pressures reinforce expectations for tighter policy through year-end. The Wednesday FOMC decision and updated dot plot represent the key catalyst, with any hawkish signals likely to extend near-term downside pressure despite longer-term central bank buying support.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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