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Sports·FIFA World Cup

World Cup: New Zealand Stage of Elimination

icon for World Cup: New Zealand Stage of Elimination
Sports·FIFA World Cup

World Cup: New Zealand Stage of Elimination

Group Stage 69%

Round of 32 25%

Round of 16 7%

Quarterfinals 4.2%

Polymarket
NEW

Group Stage 69%

Round of 32 25%

Round of 16 7%

Quarterfinals 4.2%

Polymarket
NEW

Group Stage

$91 Vol.

69%

Round of 32

$3 Vol.

25%

Round of 16

$36 Vol.

7%

Quarterfinals

$306 Vol.

4%

Semifinals

$279 Vol.

<1%

Final

$2,597 Vol.

<1%

Champion

$1,534 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which New Zealand is eliminated. If New Zealand wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'. If New Zealand is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by New Zealand based on the best available official information. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.New Zealand, the lowest-ranked team at 85th in the FIFA standings and the sole OFC qualifier, faces a demanding Group G draw against Belgium, Egypt, and Iran in the expanded 48-team tournament. Their dominant OFC qualifying campaign, featuring five straight wins and a 29-1 goal tally, secured automatic qualification but offers limited preparation against stronger opposition. Recent warm-up results, including a 4-0 loss to Haiti and a 1-0 defeat to England, have reinforced concerns about defensive vulnerabilities and limited attacking depth. These factors align with trader consensus favoring an early group-stage exit, while any path to the Round of 32 would require overcoming substantial historical trends of All Whites struggles at prior World Cups.

This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which New Zealand is eliminated. If New Zealand wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'.
If New Zealand is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by New Zealand based on the best available official information.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$4,845
End Date
Jul 19, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 7, 2026, 12:57 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.fifa.com/en/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which New Zealand is eliminated. If New Zealand wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'. If New Zealand is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by New Zealand based on the best available official information. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which New Zealand is eliminated. If New Zealand wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'. If New Zealand is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by New Zealand based on the best available official information. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.New Zealand, the lowest-ranked team at 85th in the FIFA standings and the sole OFC qualifier, faces a demanding Group G draw against Belgium, Egypt, and Iran in the expanded 48-team tournament. Their dominant OFC qualifying campaign, featuring five straight wins and a 29-1 goal tally, secured automatic qualification but offers limited preparation against stronger opposition. Recent warm-up results, including a 4-0 loss to Haiti and a 1-0 defeat to England, have reinforced concerns about defensive vulnerabilities and limited attacking depth. These factors align with trader consensus favoring an early group-stage exit, while any path to the Round of 32 would require overcoming substantial historical trends of All Whites struggles at prior World Cups.

This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which New Zealand is eliminated. If New Zealand wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'.
If New Zealand is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by New Zealand based on the best available official information.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$4,845
End Date
Jul 19, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 7, 2026, 12:57 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.fifa.com/en/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which New Zealand is eliminated. If New Zealand wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'. If New Zealand is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by New Zealand based on the best available official information. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"World Cup: New Zealand Stage of Elimination" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Group Stage" at 69%, followed by "Round of 32" at 25%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 69¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 69% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"World Cup: New Zealand Stage of Elimination" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jun 7, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "World Cup: New Zealand Stage of Elimination," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "World Cup: New Zealand Stage of Elimination" is "Group Stage" at 69%, meaning the market assigns a 69% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Round of 32" at 25%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "World Cup: New Zealand Stage of Elimination" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.