Brazil’s Q2 2026 GDP growth (QoQ) market prices the 0.3%–0.5% interval at 51.7% as the consensus outcome, reflecting expectations of moderation after the 1.1% Q1 expansion driven by fiscal stimulus, household consumption, and surging gross fixed capital formation. Higher inflation—recently near 4.7% and elevated by energy-price pressures—has eroded real incomes, while the Selic rate remains restrictive at 14.00% despite three 25-basis-point cuts through August. Analysts cite fading fiscal support, retreating investment momentum, and still-elevated inflation expectations near 5% for 2026 as key drags. Soybean export gains offer partial offset, but the upcoming IBGE release is viewed as confirming a return toward the long-run 0.5% quarterly trend amid ongoing monetary-policy calibration.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour0,3 %–0,5 % 51.8%
0,0 %–0,2 % 24.6%
0,6 %–0,8 % 15.2%
1,2 %–1,4 % <1%
$43,212 Vol.
$43,212 Vol.
1 sept. 2026
<0,0 %
<1%
0,0 %–0,2 %
25%
0,3 %–0,5 %
52%
0,6 %–0,8 %
15%
0,9 %–1,1 %
<1%
1,2 %–1,4 %
<1%
≥1,5 %
<1%
0,3 %–0,5 % 51.8%
0,0 %–0,2 % 24.6%
0,6 %–0,8 % 15.2%
1,2 %–1,4 % <1%
$43,212 Vol.
$43,212 Vol.
1 sept. 2026
<0,0 %
$794 Vol.
<1%
0,0 %–0,2 %
$3,404 Vol.
25%
0,3 %–0,5 %
$14,942 Vol.
52%
0,6 %–0,8 %
$14,643 Vol.
15%
0,9 %–1,1 %
$5,818 Vol.
<1%
1,2 %–1,4 %
$2,775 Vol.
<1%
≥1,5 %
$836 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to Brazil’s gross domestic product growth rate compared to the prior quarter (GDP at market prices, %) in the 2nd quarter of 2026, as reported by the Instituto Brasileiro de Geografia e Estatística’s (IBGE) System of Quarterly National Accounts release for Q2 of 2026, scheduled for release on September 1, 2026.
The GDP release and relevant statistics will be made available here: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/statistics/economic/national-accounts/17262-quarterly-national-accounts.html
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified quarter’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior quarter If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior quarter to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.htmlBrazil’s Q2 2026 GDP growth (QoQ) market prices the 0.3%–0.5% interval at 51.7% as the consensus outcome, reflecting expectations of moderation after the 1.1% Q1 expansion driven by fiscal stimulus, household consumption, and surging gross fixed capital formation. Higher inflation—recently near 4.7% and elevated by energy-price pressures—has eroded real incomes, while the Selic rate remains restrictive at 14.00% despite three 25-basis-point cuts through August. Analysts cite fading fiscal support, retreating investment momentum, and still-elevated inflation expectations near 5% for 2026 as key drags. Soybean export gains offer partial offset, but the upcoming IBGE release is viewed as confirming a return toward the long-run 0.5% quarterly trend amid ongoing monetary-policy calibration.
This market will resolve according to Brazil’s gross domestic product growth rate compared to the prior quarter (GDP at market prices, %) in the 2nd quarter of 2026, as reported by the Instituto Brasileiro de Geografia e Estatística’s (IBGE) System of Quarterly National Accounts release for Q2 of 2026, scheduled for release on September 1, 2026.
The GDP release and relevant statistics will be made available here: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/statistics/economic/national-accounts/17262-quarterly-national-accounts.html
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified quarter’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior quarter If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior quarter to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html
The GDP release and relevant statistics will be made available here: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/statistics/economic/national-accounts/17262-quarterly-national-accounts.html
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified quarter’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior quarter If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior quarter to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html
Marché ouvert : Jun 3, 2026, 10:46 AM ET
Volume
$43,212Date de fin
1 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 3, 2026, 10:46 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Brazil’s gross domestic product growth rate compared to the prior quarter (GDP at market prices, %) in the 2nd quarter of 2026, as reported by the Instituto Brasileiro de Geografia e Estatística’s (IBGE) System of Quarterly National Accounts release for Q2 of 2026, scheduled for release on September 1, 2026.
The GDP release and relevant statistics will be made available here: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/statistics/economic/national-accounts/17262-quarterly-national-accounts.html
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified quarter’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior quarter If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior quarter to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.htmlBrazil’s Q2 2026 GDP growth (QoQ) market prices the 0.3%–0.5% interval at 51.7% as the consensus outcome, reflecting expectations of moderation after the 1.1% Q1 expansion driven by fiscal stimulus, household consumption, and surging gross fixed capital formation. Higher inflation—recently near 4.7% and elevated by energy-price pressures—has eroded real incomes, while the Selic rate remains restrictive at 14.00% despite three 25-basis-point cuts through August. Analysts cite fading fiscal support, retreating investment momentum, and still-elevated inflation expectations near 5% for 2026 as key drags. Soybean export gains offer partial offset, but the upcoming IBGE release is viewed as confirming a return toward the long-run 0.5% quarterly trend amid ongoing monetary-policy calibration.
This market will resolve according to Brazil’s gross domestic product growth rate compared to the prior quarter (GDP at market prices, %) in the 2nd quarter of 2026, as reported by the Instituto Brasileiro de Geografia e Estatística’s (IBGE) System of Quarterly National Accounts release for Q2 of 2026, scheduled for release on September 1, 2026.
The GDP release and relevant statistics will be made available here: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/statistics/economic/national-accounts/17262-quarterly-national-accounts.html
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified quarter’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior quarter If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior quarter to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html
The GDP release and relevant statistics will be made available here: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/statistics/economic/national-accounts/17262-quarterly-national-accounts.html
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified quarter’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior quarter If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior quarter to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html
Volume
$43,212Date de fin
1 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 3, 2026, 10:46 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Brazil’s Q2 2026 GDP growth (QoQ) market prices the 0.3%–0.5% interval at 51.7% as the consensus outcome, reflecting expectations of moderation after the 1.1% Q1 expansion driven by fiscal stimulus, household consumption, and surging gross fixed capital formation. Higher inflation—recently near 4.7% and elevated by energy-price pressures—has eroded real incomes, while the Selic rate remains restrictive at 14.00% despite three 25-basis-point cuts through August. Analysts cite fading fiscal support, retreating investment momentum, and still-elevated inflation expectations near 5% for 2026 as key drags. Soybean export gains offer partial offset, but the upcoming IBGE release is viewed as confirming a return toward the long-run 0.5% quarterly trend amid ongoing monetary-policy calibration.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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