**Bipartisan congressional action has positioned a continuing resolution to extend federal funding past the September 30 expiration and into December 2026, sharply reducing the risk of an appropriations lapse on October 1.** Senate Appropriations leaders Susan Collins and Patty Murray announced the agreement in early August, and the Senate approved a clean CR by a 90-6 vote on August 8 to maintain current spending levels through December 11 while sidestepping disputes over new grant regulations and other policy riders. The House has advanced a parallel measure through early December. These steps reflect broad consensus to prevent a politically costly shutdown ahead of the midterms, consistent with historical patterns where stopgap funding is enacted when full-year appropriations remain unfinished. Trader pricing at 86% for no lapse aligns with this legislative momentum and the absence of unresolved veto threats or major procedural blocks.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour14% chance
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NOUVEAU
1 oct. 2026
14% chance
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
1 oct. 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a partial or full United States federal government lapse in appropriations occurs on October 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A lapse in appropriations occurs when Congress and the President fail to enact legislation providing funding authority for federal government operations by an applicable deadline, resulting in a funding lapse.
A lapse of any duration affecting any portion of the United States federal government will qualify, regardless of whether it results in any operational impact. A subsequent government shutdown is not necessary for this market to resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government, including from Congress.gov; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Bipartisan congressional action has positioned a continuing resolution to extend federal funding past the September 30 expiration and into December 2026, sharply reducing the risk of an appropriations lapse on October 1.** Senate Appropriations leaders Susan Collins and Patty Murray announced the agreement in early August, and the Senate approved a clean CR by a 90-6 vote on August 8 to maintain current spending levels through December 11 while sidestepping disputes over new grant regulations and other policy riders. The House has advanced a parallel measure through early December. These steps reflect broad consensus to prevent a politically costly shutdown ahead of the midterms, consistent with historical patterns where stopgap funding is enacted when full-year appropriations remain unfinished. Trader pricing at 86% for no lapse aligns with this legislative momentum and the absence of unresolved veto threats or major procedural blocks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a partial or full United States federal government lapse in appropriations occurs on October 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A lapse in appropriations occurs when Congress and the President fail to enact legislation providing funding authority for federal government operations by an applicable deadline, resulting in a funding lapse.
A lapse of any duration affecting any portion of the United States federal government will qualify, regardless of whether it results in any operational impact. A subsequent government shutdown is not necessary for this market to resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government, including from Congress.gov; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A lapse in appropriations occurs when Congress and the President fail to enact legislation providing funding authority for federal government operations by an applicable deadline, resulting in a funding lapse.
A lapse of any duration affecting any portion of the United States federal government will qualify, regardless of whether it results in any operational impact. A subsequent government shutdown is not necessary for this market to resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government, including from Congress.gov; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Aug 5, 2026, 11:30 AM ET
Volume
$1,340Date de fin
1 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 5, 2026, 11:30 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if a partial or full United States federal government lapse in appropriations occurs on October 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A lapse in appropriations occurs when Congress and the President fail to enact legislation providing funding authority for federal government operations by an applicable deadline, resulting in a funding lapse.
A lapse of any duration affecting any portion of the United States federal government will qualify, regardless of whether it results in any operational impact. A subsequent government shutdown is not necessary for this market to resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government, including from Congress.gov; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Bipartisan congressional action has positioned a continuing resolution to extend federal funding past the September 30 expiration and into December 2026, sharply reducing the risk of an appropriations lapse on October 1.** Senate Appropriations leaders Susan Collins and Patty Murray announced the agreement in early August, and the Senate approved a clean CR by a 90-6 vote on August 8 to maintain current spending levels through December 11 while sidestepping disputes over new grant regulations and other policy riders. The House has advanced a parallel measure through early December. These steps reflect broad consensus to prevent a politically costly shutdown ahead of the midterms, consistent with historical patterns where stopgap funding is enacted when full-year appropriations remain unfinished. Trader pricing at 86% for no lapse aligns with this legislative momentum and the absence of unresolved veto threats or major procedural blocks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a partial or full United States federal government lapse in appropriations occurs on October 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A lapse in appropriations occurs when Congress and the President fail to enact legislation providing funding authority for federal government operations by an applicable deadline, resulting in a funding lapse.
A lapse of any duration affecting any portion of the United States federal government will qualify, regardless of whether it results in any operational impact. A subsequent government shutdown is not necessary for this market to resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government, including from Congress.gov; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A lapse in appropriations occurs when Congress and the President fail to enact legislation providing funding authority for federal government operations by an applicable deadline, resulting in a funding lapse.
A lapse of any duration affecting any portion of the United States federal government will qualify, regardless of whether it results in any operational impact. A subsequent government shutdown is not necessary for this market to resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government, including from Congress.gov; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,340Date de fin
1 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 5, 2026, 11:30 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Bipartisan congressional action has positioned a continuing resolution to extend federal funding past the September 30 expiration and into December 2026, sharply reducing the risk of an appropriations lapse on October 1.** Senate Appropriations leaders Susan Collins and Patty Murray announced the agreement in early August, and the Senate approved a clean CR by a 90-6 vote on August 8 to maintain current spending levels through December 11 while sidestepping disputes over new grant regulations and other policy riders. The House has advanced a parallel measure through early December. These steps reflect broad consensus to prevent a politically costly shutdown ahead of the midterms, consistent with historical patterns where stopgap funding is enacted when full-year appropriations remain unfinished. Trader pricing at 86% for no lapse aligns with this legislative momentum and the absence of unresolved veto threats or major procedural blocks.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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