Recent European weather model runs indicate a mild Atlantic-influenced air mass over the Netherlands, with daytime maxima for Amsterdam on June 13 most likely settling between 17°C and 18°C under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly winds. These conditions limit strong diurnal heating while preventing significant cooling from persistent cloud cover or rain. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around this narrow band, with minor differences in timing of any showers or breaks in cloud producing the close market split between the two leading outcomes. Historical mid-June averages near 18°C provide additional context, though short-term forecast updates from agencies like KNMI or ECMWF could still shift probabilities ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Amsterdam on June 13?
18°C 39%
17°C 32%
19°C 18%
16°C 14%
13°C or below
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
3%
16°C
14%
17°C
32%
18°C
39%
19°C
18%
20°C
5%
21°C
1%
22°C
2%
23°C or higher
<1%
18°C 39%
17°C 32%
19°C 18%
16°C 14%
13°C or below
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
3%
16°C
14%
17°C
32%
18°C
39%
19°C
18%
20°C
5%
21°C
1%
22°C
2%
23°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 11, 2026, 12:17 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent European weather model runs indicate a mild Atlantic-influenced air mass over the Netherlands, with daytime maxima for Amsterdam on June 13 most likely settling between 17°C and 18°C under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly winds. These conditions limit strong diurnal heating while preventing significant cooling from persistent cloud cover or rain. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around this narrow band, with minor differences in timing of any showers or breaks in cloud producing the close market split between the two leading outcomes. Historical mid-June averages near 18°C provide additional context, though short-term forecast updates from agencies like KNMI or ECMWF could still shift probabilities ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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