Market-implied odds strongly favor 32°C as Guangzhou’s daily high on June 11, reflecting current forecasts from regional meteorological models projecting a peak near that level under typical early-summer subtropical conditions. Moderate humidity, possible afternoon cloud cover, and the absence of strong high-pressure ridging are limiting extreme surface heating, consistent with June climatology showing average maxima of 31–32°C. Recent model consensus indicates low odds for readings at or above 34°C, while cooler outcomes remain improbable without an unexpected frontal passage. Traders are watching real-time observations from the China Meteorological Administration, which will provide the official maximum for resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Guangzhou on June 11?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on June 11?
32°C 54%
33°C 25%
31°C 13.3%
34°C 5%
$48,915 Vol.
$48,915 Vol.
11 juin 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
13%
32°C
52%
33°C
25%
34°C
5%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 54%
33°C 25%
31°C 13.3%
34°C 5%
$48,915 Vol.
$48,915 Vol.
11 juin 2026
27°C or below
$6,133 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$4,348 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$4,065 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$6,860 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$5,865 Vol.
13%
32°C
$3,265 Vol.
52%
33°C
$2,144 Vol.
25%
34°C
$4,808 Vol.
5%
35°C
$4,210 Vol.
1%
36°C
$5,193 Vol.
<1%
37°C or higher
$3,535 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Market-implied odds strongly favor 32°C as Guangzhou’s daily high on June 11, reflecting current forecasts from regional meteorological models projecting a peak near that level under typical early-summer subtropical conditions. Moderate humidity, possible afternoon cloud cover, and the absence of strong high-pressure ridging are limiting extreme surface heating, consistent with June climatology showing average maxima of 31–32°C. Recent model consensus indicates low odds for readings at or above 34°C, while cooler outcomes remain improbable without an unexpected frontal passage. Traders are watching real-time observations from the China Meteorological Administration, which will provide the official maximum for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 9, 2026, 12:22 AM ET
Volume
$48,915Date de fin
11 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 9, 2026, 12:22 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Market-implied odds strongly favor 32°C as Guangzhou’s daily high on June 11, reflecting current forecasts from regional meteorological models projecting a peak near that level under typical early-summer subtropical conditions. Moderate humidity, possible afternoon cloud cover, and the absence of strong high-pressure ridging are limiting extreme surface heating, consistent with June climatology showing average maxima of 31–32°C. Recent model consensus indicates low odds for readings at or above 34°C, while cooler outcomes remain improbable without an unexpected frontal passage. Traders are watching real-time observations from the China Meteorological Administration, which will provide the official maximum for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$48,915Date de fin
11 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 9, 2026, 12:22 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Market-implied odds strongly favor 32°C as Guangzhou’s daily high on June 11, reflecting current forecasts from regional meteorological models projecting a peak near that level under typical early-summer subtropical conditions. Moderate humidity, possible afternoon cloud cover, and the absence of strong high-pressure ridging are limiting extreme surface heating, consistent with June climatology showing average maxima of 31–32°C. Recent model consensus indicates low odds for readings at or above 34°C, while cooler outcomes remain improbable without an unexpected frontal passage. Traders are watching real-time observations from the China Meteorological Administration, which will provide the official maximum for resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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