**Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 20–21°C (combined ~62.5%), reflecting short-range model consensus for Istanbul’s June 13 high amid a cooler, unsettled pattern.** Latest guidance from sources such as timeanddate.com and the UK Met Office indicates a daily maximum near 20–24°C, with mostly cloudy skies, isolated thunderstorms, and northerly flow limiting daytime heating. These conditions contrast with typical mid-June climatology of 25–26°C highs under clearer, warmer southerly regimes. Key differentiating factors include the precise timing and coverage of showers (which suppress peak temperatures via reduced insolation and evaporative cooling), boundary-layer wind speeds, and any sea-breeze reinforcement along the Bosphorus. With resolution in roughly 48 hours, traders are weighting the latest ECMWF and GFS runs that favor the lower end of the envelope; a drier or more southerly steering pattern in the final updates could shift probability toward 22°C or above.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Istanbul on June 13?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on June 13?
20°C 36%
21°C 31%
19°C 16%
22°C 16%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
13 juin 2026
14°C or below
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
2%
18°C
7%
19°C
16%
20°C
31%
21°C
32%
22°C
16%
23°C
9%
24°C or higher
9%
20°C 36%
21°C 31%
19°C 16%
22°C 16%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
13 juin 2026
14°C or below
$110 Vol.
1%
15°C
$10 Vol.
1%
16°C
$10 Vol.
1%
17°C
$114 Vol.
2%
18°C
$5 Vol.
7%
19°C
$0 Vol.
16%
20°C
$43 Vol.
31%
21°C
$25 Vol.
32%
22°C
$10 Vol.
16%
23°C
$20 Vol.
9%
24°C or higher
$269 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 20–21°C (combined ~62.5%), reflecting short-range model consensus for Istanbul’s June 13 high amid a cooler, unsettled pattern.** Latest guidance from sources such as timeanddate.com and the UK Met Office indicates a daily maximum near 20–24°C, with mostly cloudy skies, isolated thunderstorms, and northerly flow limiting daytime heating. These conditions contrast with typical mid-June climatology of 25–26°C highs under clearer, warmer southerly regimes. Key differentiating factors include the precise timing and coverage of showers (which suppress peak temperatures via reduced insolation and evaporative cooling), boundary-layer wind speeds, and any sea-breeze reinforcement along the Bosphorus. With resolution in roughly 48 hours, traders are weighting the latest ECMWF and GFS runs that favor the lower end of the envelope; a drier or more southerly steering pattern in the final updates could shift probability toward 22°C or above.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 11, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Volume
$402Date de fin
13 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 11, 2026, 12:12 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 20–21°C (combined ~62.5%), reflecting short-range model consensus for Istanbul’s June 13 high amid a cooler, unsettled pattern.** Latest guidance from sources such as timeanddate.com and the UK Met Office indicates a daily maximum near 20–24°C, with mostly cloudy skies, isolated thunderstorms, and northerly flow limiting daytime heating. These conditions contrast with typical mid-June climatology of 25–26°C highs under clearer, warmer southerly regimes. Key differentiating factors include the precise timing and coverage of showers (which suppress peak temperatures via reduced insolation and evaporative cooling), boundary-layer wind speeds, and any sea-breeze reinforcement along the Bosphorus. With resolution in roughly 48 hours, traders are weighting the latest ECMWF and GFS runs that favor the lower end of the envelope; a drier or more southerly steering pattern in the final updates could shift probability toward 22°C or above.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$402Date de fin
13 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 11, 2026, 12:12 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 20–21°C (combined ~62.5%), reflecting short-range model consensus for Istanbul’s June 13 high amid a cooler, unsettled pattern.** Latest guidance from sources such as timeanddate.com and the UK Met Office indicates a daily maximum near 20–24°C, with mostly cloudy skies, isolated thunderstorms, and northerly flow limiting daytime heating. These conditions contrast with typical mid-June climatology of 25–26°C highs under clearer, warmer southerly regimes. Key differentiating factors include the precise timing and coverage of showers (which suppress peak temperatures via reduced insolation and evaporative cooling), boundary-layer wind speeds, and any sea-breeze reinforcement along the Bosphorus. With resolution in roughly 48 hours, traders are weighting the latest ECMWF and GFS runs that favor the lower end of the envelope; a drier or more southerly steering pattern in the final updates could shift probability toward 22°C or above.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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