Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for a 32°C high in Shenzhen on June 11 centers on real-time observational data and model consensus from agencies tracking subtropical conditions. Persistent warm, humid southerly flow combined with limited cloud cover and urban heat effects has driven daytime maxima to this exact threshold, consistent with June climatology where averages reach 30–32°C. Recent model runs show minimal deviation in peak readings across official stations. Only revised post-event verification from multiple sensors or unexpected late-day cooling could alter the recorded maximum before market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Shenzhen on June 11?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on June 11?
32°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$174,793 Vol.
$174,793 Vol.
11 juin 2026
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$174,793 Vol.
$174,793 Vol.
11 juin 2026
24°C or below
$336 Vol.
No
25°C
$531 Vol.
No
26°C
$2,384 Vol.
No
27°C
$2,053 Vol.
No
28°C
$5,284 Vol.
No
29°C
$9,197 Vol.
No
30°C
$21,021 Vol.
No
31°C
$66,154 Vol.
No
32°C
$33,197 Vol.
Yes
33°C
$21,812 Vol.
No
34°C or higher
$12,824 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for a 32°C high in Shenzhen on June 11 centers on real-time observational data and model consensus from agencies tracking subtropical conditions. Persistent warm, humid southerly flow combined with limited cloud cover and urban heat effects has driven daytime maxima to this exact threshold, consistent with June climatology where averages reach 30–32°C. Recent model runs show minimal deviation in peak readings across official stations. Only revised post-event verification from multiple sensors or unexpected late-day cooling could alter the recorded maximum before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 9, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Volume
$174,793Date de fin
11 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 9, 2026, 12:18 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for a 32°C high in Shenzhen on June 11 centers on real-time observational data and model consensus from agencies tracking subtropical conditions. Persistent warm, humid southerly flow combined with limited cloud cover and urban heat effects has driven daytime maxima to this exact threshold, consistent with June climatology where averages reach 30–32°C. Recent model runs show minimal deviation in peak readings across official stations. Only revised post-event verification from multiple sensors or unexpected late-day cooling could alter the recorded maximum before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$174,793Date de fin
11 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 9, 2026, 12:18 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for a 32°C high in Shenzhen on June 11 centers on real-time observational data and model consensus from agencies tracking subtropical conditions. Persistent warm, humid southerly flow combined with limited cloud cover and urban heat effects has driven daytime maxima to this exact threshold, consistent with June climatology where averages reach 30–32°C. Recent model runs show minimal deviation in peak readings across official stations. Only revised post-event verification from multiple sensors or unexpected late-day cooling could alter the recorded maximum before market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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