Current numerical weather models from agencies including the Met Office and global ensembles show a highest temperature in Amsterdam on September 11 most likely near 19–21°C, driven by moderate southerly flow ahead of an approaching Atlantic front that brings cloud cover, light rain, and limited daytime heating. This places the market-implied peak at 20°C (56.5% probability) ahead of 21°C, consistent with September climatology where daily maxima average near 19–20°C at Schiphol. Forecast uncertainty stems from timing of precipitation and wind shifts that could cap or briefly elevate readings by 1–2°C, with latest runs showing consensus around these values and minimal risk of extremes. Updated model guidance later today will refine the exact maximum before market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Amsterdam le 11 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Amsterdam le 11 septembre ?
20°C 56%
21°C 27%
19°C 12%
22°C 3%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
11 sept. 2026
14°C ou moins
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
2%
18°C
3%
19°C
12%
20°C
56%
21°C
27%
22°C
3%
23°C
1%
24°C ou plus
1%
20°C 56%
21°C 27%
19°C 12%
22°C 3%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
11 sept. 2026
14°C ou moins
$154 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$146 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$120 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$189 Vol.
2%
18°C
$161 Vol.
3%
19°C
$298 Vol.
12%
20°C
$1,004 Vol.
56%
21°C
$1,492 Vol.
27%
22°C
$223 Vol.
3%
23°C
$244 Vol.
1%
24°C ou plus
$207 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather models from agencies including the Met Office and global ensembles show a highest temperature in Amsterdam on September 11 most likely near 19–21°C, driven by moderate southerly flow ahead of an approaching Atlantic front that brings cloud cover, light rain, and limited daytime heating. This places the market-implied peak at 20°C (56.5% probability) ahead of 21°C, consistent with September climatology where daily maxima average near 19–20°C at Schiphol. Forecast uncertainty stems from timing of precipitation and wind shifts that could cap or briefly elevate readings by 1–2°C, with latest runs showing consensus around these values and minimal risk of extremes. Updated model guidance later today will refine the exact maximum before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 9, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$4,239Date de fin
11 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 9, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather models from agencies including the Met Office and global ensembles show a highest temperature in Amsterdam on September 11 most likely near 19–21°C, driven by moderate southerly flow ahead of an approaching Atlantic front that brings cloud cover, light rain, and limited daytime heating. This places the market-implied peak at 20°C (56.5% probability) ahead of 21°C, consistent with September climatology where daily maxima average near 19–20°C at Schiphol. Forecast uncertainty stems from timing of precipitation and wind shifts that could cap or briefly elevate readings by 1–2°C, with latest runs showing consensus around these values and minimal risk of extremes. Updated model guidance later today will refine the exact maximum before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,239Date de fin
11 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 9, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Current numerical weather models from agencies including the Met Office and global ensembles show a highest temperature in Amsterdam on September 11 most likely near 19–21°C, driven by moderate southerly flow ahead of an approaching Atlantic front that brings cloud cover, light rain, and limited daytime heating. This places the market-implied peak at 20°C (56.5% probability) ahead of 21°C, consistent with September climatology where daily maxima average near 19–20°C at Schiphol. Forecast uncertainty stems from timing of precipitation and wind shifts that could cap or briefly elevate readings by 1–2°C, with latest runs showing consensus around these values and minimal risk of extremes. Updated model guidance later today will refine the exact maximum before market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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