Forecast models from sources including the GFS and European centers currently project a daily minimum temperature in Amsterdam near 13°C on September 11, driven by southwesterly flow, light rain or drizzle, and moderate humidity that limits overnight radiative cooling. This places the most likely outcome in the 12–14°C range, consistent with historical early-September climatology for the region but tempered by the absence of strong high-pressure subsidence. Market-implied odds remain closely split between sub-8°C and 18°C+ extremes because small shifts in cloud cover, wind speed, or frontal timing can alter the minimum by several degrees, while traders weigh ensemble spread and the precise resolution source (likely an official station reading) ahead of the short verification window.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Amsterdam le 11 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Amsterdam le 11 septembre ?
8°C ou moins 94%
18°C ou plus 94%
15°C 27%
13°C 23%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
11 sept. 2026
8°C ou moins
94%
9°C
19%
10°C
21%
11°C
21%
12°C
21%
13°C
23%
14°C
22%
15°C
27%
16°C
21%
17°C
19%
18°C ou plus
94%
8°C ou moins 94%
18°C ou plus 94%
15°C 27%
13°C 23%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
11 sept. 2026
8°C ou moins
$0 Vol.
94%
9°C
$0 Vol.
19%
10°C
$0 Vol.
21%
11°C
$0 Vol.
21%
12°C
$0 Vol.
21%
13°C
$0 Vol.
23%
14°C
$0 Vol.
22%
15°C
$0 Vol.
27%
16°C
$0 Vol.
21%
17°C
$0 Vol.
19%
18°C ou plus
$0 Vol.
94%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the GFS and European centers currently project a daily minimum temperature in Amsterdam near 13°C on September 11, driven by southwesterly flow, light rain or drizzle, and moderate humidity that limits overnight radiative cooling. This places the most likely outcome in the 12–14°C range, consistent with historical early-September climatology for the region but tempered by the absence of strong high-pressure subsidence. Market-implied odds remain closely split between sub-8°C and 18°C+ extremes because small shifts in cloud cover, wind speed, or frontal timing can alter the minimum by several degrees, while traders weigh ensemble spread and the precise resolution source (likely an official station reading) ahead of the short verification window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$0Date de fin
11 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the GFS and European centers currently project a daily minimum temperature in Amsterdam near 13°C on September 11, driven by southwesterly flow, light rain or drizzle, and moderate humidity that limits overnight radiative cooling. This places the most likely outcome in the 12–14°C range, consistent with historical early-September climatology for the region but tempered by the absence of strong high-pressure subsidence. Market-implied odds remain closely split between sub-8°C and 18°C+ extremes because small shifts in cloud cover, wind speed, or frontal timing can alter the minimum by several degrees, while traders weigh ensemble spread and the precise resolution source (likely an official station reading) ahead of the short verification window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Date de fin
11 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the GFS and European centers currently project a daily minimum temperature in Amsterdam near 13°C on September 11, driven by southwesterly flow, light rain or drizzle, and moderate humidity that limits overnight radiative cooling. This places the most likely outcome in the 12–14°C range, consistent with historical early-September climatology for the region but tempered by the absence of strong high-pressure subsidence. Market-implied odds remain closely split between sub-8°C and 18°C+ extremes because small shifts in cloud cover, wind speed, or frontal timing can alter the minimum by several degrees, while traders weigh ensemble spread and the precise resolution source (likely an official station reading) ahead of the short verification window.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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