Recent forecasts from agencies including China's CMA and global models like GFS indicate a high of 30–32°C for Beijing on September 6, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with southerly winds and minimal precipitation. This aligns with trader emphasis on 32°C (42% implied probability) and 31°C (22.5%), as current model runs and short-range guidance cluster near these values amid typical early-September moderation from peak summer heat. Historical data show an average high of 28.1°C and a record of 32.3°C for the date, providing context for the limited tail risk priced into 33°C+ or sub-30°C outcomes. A frontal system bringing cooler, wetter conditions arrives shortly after, supporting the narrow window for these temperatures before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Pékin le 6 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Pékin le 6 septembre ?
32°C 43%
31°C 23%
33°C 20%
30°C 12%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
6 sept. 2026
26°C ou moins
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
3%
29°C
6%
30°C
12%
31°C
23%
32°C
43%
33°C
20%
34°C
5%
35°C
6%
36°C ou plus
1%
32°C 43%
31°C 23%
33°C 20%
30°C 12%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
6 sept. 2026
26°C ou moins
$0 Vol.
1%
27°C
$0 Vol.
3%
28°C
$334 Vol.
3%
29°C
$0 Vol.
6%
30°C
$0 Vol.
12%
31°C
$0 Vol.
23%
32°C
$156 Vol.
43%
33°C
$44 Vol.
20%
34°C
$5 Vol.
5%
35°C
$0 Vol.
6%
36°C ou plus
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies including China's CMA and global models like GFS indicate a high of 30–32°C for Beijing on September 6, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with southerly winds and minimal precipitation. This aligns with trader emphasis on 32°C (42% implied probability) and 31°C (22.5%), as current model runs and short-range guidance cluster near these values amid typical early-September moderation from peak summer heat. Historical data show an average high of 28.1°C and a record of 32.3°C for the date, providing context for the limited tail risk priced into 33°C+ or sub-30°C outcomes. A frontal system bringing cooler, wetter conditions arrives shortly after, supporting the narrow window for these temperatures before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$539Date de fin
6 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies including China's CMA and global models like GFS indicate a high of 30–32°C for Beijing on September 6, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with southerly winds and minimal precipitation. This aligns with trader emphasis on 32°C (42% implied probability) and 31°C (22.5%), as current model runs and short-range guidance cluster near these values amid typical early-September moderation from peak summer heat. Historical data show an average high of 28.1°C and a record of 32.3°C for the date, providing context for the limited tail risk priced into 33°C+ or sub-30°C outcomes. A frontal system bringing cooler, wetter conditions arrives shortly after, supporting the narrow window for these temperatures before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$539Date de fin
6 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from agencies including China's CMA and global models like GFS indicate a high of 30–32°C for Beijing on September 6, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with southerly winds and minimal precipitation. This aligns with trader emphasis on 32°C (42% implied probability) and 31°C (22.5%), as current model runs and short-range guidance cluster near these values amid typical early-September moderation from peak summer heat. Historical data show an average high of 28.1°C and a record of 32.3°C for the date, providing context for the limited tail risk priced into 33°C+ or sub-30°C outcomes. A frontal system bringing cooler, wetter conditions arrives shortly after, supporting the narrow window for these temperatures before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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