Forecast models from the National Weather Service and other agencies currently indicate a high near 96–98°F for Austin on September 6, with partly cloudy skies and only a slight afternoon storm chance that is unlikely to suppress daytime maxima. This aligns with the market’s leading 96–97°F bin at 41% implied probability. Persistent above-normal temperatures across central Texas, following recent highs near 100–103°F, and elevated humidity supporting heat indices above 105°F reinforce trader focus on the upper 90s. The September 6 climatological average high stands at 93.4°F, yet the ongoing warm pattern and limited cooling mechanisms keep lower outcomes under 20% combined. Updated NWS guidance and short-range model runs over the next 48 hours represent the key near-term catalysts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Austin le 6 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Austin le 6 septembre ?
96-97°F 41%
94-95°F 37%
92-93°F 22%
98-99 °F 19%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
6 sept. 2026
85°F ou moins
2%
86-87 °F
1%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
15%
92-93°F
22%
94-95°F
37%
96-97°F
41%
98-99 °F
19%
100-101°F
8%
102-103°F
4%
104°F ou plus
3%
96-97°F 41%
94-95°F 37%
92-93°F 22%
98-99 °F 19%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
6 sept. 2026
85°F ou moins
$48 Vol.
2%
86-87 °F
$0 Vol.
1%
88-89°F
$0 Vol.
2%
90-91°F
$0 Vol.
15%
92-93°F
$0 Vol.
22%
94-95°F
$0 Vol.
37%
96-97°F
$48 Vol.
41%
98-99 °F
$63 Vol.
19%
100-101°F
$0 Vol.
8%
102-103°F
$0 Vol.
4%
104°F ou plus
$0 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and other agencies currently indicate a high near 96–98°F for Austin on September 6, with partly cloudy skies and only a slight afternoon storm chance that is unlikely to suppress daytime maxima. This aligns with the market’s leading 96–97°F bin at 41% implied probability. Persistent above-normal temperatures across central Texas, following recent highs near 100–103°F, and elevated humidity supporting heat indices above 105°F reinforce trader focus on the upper 90s. The September 6 climatological average high stands at 93.4°F, yet the ongoing warm pattern and limited cooling mechanisms keep lower outcomes under 20% combined. Updated NWS guidance and short-range model runs over the next 48 hours represent the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 4, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
Volume
$159Date de fin
6 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 4, 2026, 2:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and other agencies currently indicate a high near 96–98°F for Austin on September 6, with partly cloudy skies and only a slight afternoon storm chance that is unlikely to suppress daytime maxima. This aligns with the market’s leading 96–97°F bin at 41% implied probability. Persistent above-normal temperatures across central Texas, following recent highs near 100–103°F, and elevated humidity supporting heat indices above 105°F reinforce trader focus on the upper 90s. The September 6 climatological average high stands at 93.4°F, yet the ongoing warm pattern and limited cooling mechanisms keep lower outcomes under 20% combined. Updated NWS guidance and short-range model runs over the next 48 hours represent the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$159Date de fin
6 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 4, 2026, 2:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the National Weather Service and other agencies currently indicate a high near 96–98°F for Austin on September 6, with partly cloudy skies and only a slight afternoon storm chance that is unlikely to suppress daytime maxima. This aligns with the market’s leading 96–97°F bin at 41% implied probability. Persistent above-normal temperatures across central Texas, following recent highs near 100–103°F, and elevated humidity supporting heat indices above 105°F reinforce trader focus on the upper 90s. The September 6 climatological average high stands at 93.4°F, yet the ongoing warm pattern and limited cooling mechanisms keep lower outcomes under 20% combined. Updated NWS guidance and short-range model runs over the next 48 hours represent the key near-term catalysts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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