Climatological records and current forecast models from Chinese meteorological agencies show August highs in Jinan typically range from 30–33 °C, placing the probability of a daily maximum below 26 °C near zero under normal conditions. Persistent subtropical high pressure, regional soil moisture deficits, and weak synoptic forcing have maintained elevated temperatures through late summer, reinforcing trader consensus around the 26 °C-or-higher outcome at 99.6 % implied probability. Official guidance indicates minimal model spread for the next 24–48 hours, though an unexpected cold-front passage or heavy convective cloud cover could theoretically lower readings; such shifts remain statistically rare this late in the season and would require rapid revision of current dynamical guidance to alter the market.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Jinan le 25 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Jinan le 25 août ?
26°C or higher 99.6%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
25 août 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
100%
26°C or higher 99.6%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
25 août 2026
16°C or below
$196 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$196 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$201 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$129 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$129 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$191 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$1,312 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$129 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$235 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$285 Vol.
<1%
26°C or higher
$1,470 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Climatological records and current forecast models from Chinese meteorological agencies show August highs in Jinan typically range from 30–33 °C, placing the probability of a daily maximum below 26 °C near zero under normal conditions. Persistent subtropical high pressure, regional soil moisture deficits, and weak synoptic forcing have maintained elevated temperatures through late summer, reinforcing trader consensus around the 26 °C-or-higher outcome at 99.6 % implied probability. Official guidance indicates minimal model spread for the next 24–48 hours, though an unexpected cold-front passage or heavy convective cloud cover could theoretically lower readings; such shifts remain statistically rare this late in the season and would require rapid revision of current dynamical guidance to alter the market.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 24, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$4,475Date de fin
25 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 24, 2026, 12:55 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Climatological records and current forecast models from Chinese meteorological agencies show August highs in Jinan typically range from 30–33 °C, placing the probability of a daily maximum below 26 °C near zero under normal conditions. Persistent subtropical high pressure, regional soil moisture deficits, and weak synoptic forcing have maintained elevated temperatures through late summer, reinforcing trader consensus around the 26 °C-or-higher outcome at 99.6 % implied probability. Official guidance indicates minimal model spread for the next 24–48 hours, though an unexpected cold-front passage or heavy convective cloud cover could theoretically lower readings; such shifts remain statistically rare this late in the season and would require rapid revision of current dynamical guidance to alter the market.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,475Date de fin
25 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 24, 2026, 12:55 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Climatological records and current forecast models from Chinese meteorological agencies show August highs in Jinan typically range from 30–33 °C, placing the probability of a daily maximum below 26 °C near zero under normal conditions. Persistent subtropical high pressure, regional soil moisture deficits, and weak synoptic forcing have maintained elevated temperatures through late summer, reinforcing trader consensus around the 26 °C-or-higher outcome at 99.6 % implied probability. Official guidance indicates minimal model spread for the next 24–48 hours, though an unexpected cold-front passage or heavy convective cloud cover could theoretically lower readings; such shifts remain statistically rare this late in the season and would require rapid revision of current dynamical guidance to alter the market.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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