Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a highest temperature in the mid- to upper 70s in Seattle on August 26, aligning with the market's heaviest weighting on 76–79°F outcomes. Late-August climatology shows a seasonal decline from the early-month peak near 79°F, reinforced by an upper-level trough and onshore flow that limits daytime heating while maintaining marine influence. Recent observations from Seattle-Tacoma International confirm highs in the mid-70s to low 80s amid a broader cooling trend after mid-month warmth, with ensemble forecasts showing limited spread and only modest potential for 80°F+ if ridge building strengthens overnight. Updated model runs and official briefings ahead of the 26th will refine these probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Seattle le 26 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Seattle le 26 août ?
78-79°F 42%
76-77°F 30%
80-81°F 16%
74-75°F 9%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
26 août 2026
71°F or below
1%
72-73°F
4%
74-75°F
9%
76-77°F
30%
78-79°F
42%
80-81°F
16%
82-83°F
4%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
<1%
78-79°F 42%
76-77°F 30%
80-81°F 16%
74-75°F 9%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
26 août 2026
71°F or below
$31 Vol.
1%
72-73°F
$75 Vol.
4%
74-75°F
$1 Vol.
9%
76-77°F
$60 Vol.
30%
78-79°F
$422 Vol.
42%
80-81°F
$27 Vol.
16%
82-83°F
$10 Vol.
4%
84-85°F
$53 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$158 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$358 Vol.
<1%
90°F or higher
$467 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a highest temperature in the mid- to upper 70s in Seattle on August 26, aligning with the market's heaviest weighting on 76–79°F outcomes. Late-August climatology shows a seasonal decline from the early-month peak near 79°F, reinforced by an upper-level trough and onshore flow that limits daytime heating while maintaining marine influence. Recent observations from Seattle-Tacoma International confirm highs in the mid-70s to low 80s amid a broader cooling trend after mid-month warmth, with ensemble forecasts showing limited spread and only modest potential for 80°F+ if ridge building strengthens overnight. Updated model runs and official briefings ahead of the 26th will refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 24, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volume
$1,662Date de fin
26 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 24, 2026, 8:56 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a highest temperature in the mid- to upper 70s in Seattle on August 26, aligning with the market's heaviest weighting on 76–79°F outcomes. Late-August climatology shows a seasonal decline from the early-month peak near 79°F, reinforced by an upper-level trough and onshore flow that limits daytime heating while maintaining marine influence. Recent observations from Seattle-Tacoma International confirm highs in the mid-70s to low 80s amid a broader cooling trend after mid-month warmth, with ensemble forecasts showing limited spread and only modest potential for 80°F+ if ridge building strengthens overnight. Updated model runs and official briefings ahead of the 26th will refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,662Date de fin
26 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 24, 2026, 8:56 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a highest temperature in the mid- to upper 70s in Seattle on August 26, aligning with the market's heaviest weighting on 76–79°F outcomes. Late-August climatology shows a seasonal decline from the early-month peak near 79°F, reinforced by an upper-level trough and onshore flow that limits daytime heating while maintaining marine influence. Recent observations from Seattle-Tacoma International confirm highs in the mid-70s to low 80s amid a broader cooling trend after mid-month warmth, with ensemble forecasts showing limited spread and only modest potential for 80°F+ if ridge building strengthens overnight. Updated model runs and official briefings ahead of the 26th will refine these probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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