Marine layer stratus and variable overnight radiative cooling under high pressure are the main drivers keeping trader consensus tightly clustered around 56–61°F for Seattle’s August 25 low. Onshore flow from Puget Sound maintains a shallow temperature inversion that can suppress minimums near 56–57°F if clouds persist through dawn, while clearer breaks allow greater heat loss and push readings toward 60–61°F. Model guidance shows light winds and dew points near 55°F, limiting further cooling below 56°F yet preventing strong warming. Historical late-August climatology centers on 57°F, so the market-implied odds reflect traders weighing the latest NWS forecast updates on marine-layer depth and timing against typical radiative-cooling potential.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Seattle le 25 août ?
La température la plus basse à Seattle le 25 août ?
56-57°F 34%
58-59 °F 34%
60-61°F 31%
54-55 °F 10%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
25 août 2026
49°F ou moins
<1%
50-51°F
8%
52-53°F
7%
54-55 °F
10%
56-57°F
34%
58-59 °F
34%
60-61°F
31%
62-63°F
8%
64-65°F
2%
66-67 °F
<1%
68°F ou plus
<1%
56-57°F 34%
58-59 °F 34%
60-61°F 31%
54-55 °F 10%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
25 août 2026
49°F ou moins
$16 Vol.
<1%
50-51°F
$10 Vol.
8%
52-53°F
$30 Vol.
7%
54-55 °F
$31 Vol.
10%
56-57°F
$0 Vol.
34%
58-59 °F
$0 Vol.
34%
60-61°F
$2 Vol.
31%
62-63°F
$53 Vol.
8%
64-65°F
$12 Vol.
2%
66-67 °F
$13 Vol.
<1%
68°F ou plus
$13 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Marine layer stratus and variable overnight radiative cooling under high pressure are the main drivers keeping trader consensus tightly clustered around 56–61°F for Seattle’s August 25 low. Onshore flow from Puget Sound maintains a shallow temperature inversion that can suppress minimums near 56–57°F if clouds persist through dawn, while clearer breaks allow greater heat loss and push readings toward 60–61°F. Model guidance shows light winds and dew points near 55°F, limiting further cooling below 56°F yet preventing strong warming. Historical late-August climatology centers on 57°F, so the market-implied odds reflect traders weighing the latest NWS forecast updates on marine-layer depth and timing against typical radiative-cooling potential.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 23, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Volume
$180Date de fin
25 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 23, 2026, 9:29 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Marine layer stratus and variable overnight radiative cooling under high pressure are the main drivers keeping trader consensus tightly clustered around 56–61°F for Seattle’s August 25 low. Onshore flow from Puget Sound maintains a shallow temperature inversion that can suppress minimums near 56–57°F if clouds persist through dawn, while clearer breaks allow greater heat loss and push readings toward 60–61°F. Model guidance shows light winds and dew points near 55°F, limiting further cooling below 56°F yet preventing strong warming. Historical late-August climatology centers on 57°F, so the market-implied odds reflect traders weighing the latest NWS forecast updates on marine-layer depth and timing against typical radiative-cooling potential.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$180Date de fin
25 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 23, 2026, 9:29 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Marine layer stratus and variable overnight radiative cooling under high pressure are the main drivers keeping trader consensus tightly clustered around 56–61°F for Seattle’s August 25 low. Onshore flow from Puget Sound maintains a shallow temperature inversion that can suppress minimums near 56–57°F if clouds persist through dawn, while clearer breaks allow greater heat loss and push readings toward 60–61°F. Model guidance shows light winds and dew points near 55°F, limiting further cooling below 56°F yet preventing strong warming. Historical late-August climatology centers on 57°F, so the market-implied odds reflect traders weighing the latest NWS forecast updates on marine-layer depth and timing against typical radiative-cooling potential.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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