Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a highest temperature of 12°C (44.5% implied probability) at London City Airport on May 14, driven by the latest Met Office forecast updated late May 13 projecting a daytime maximum of 13°C with hourly peaks at 12°C around mid-afternoon, amid light showers, northerly winds gusting to 21 mph, and precipitation chances peaking at 70-80%. BBC Weather aligns with a 13°C high under cloudier conditions from the west, scattered showers, and a slight thunder risk, suppressing solar heating through extensive cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Northerly airflow advects cooler air masses below mid-May climatological norms (typically 16-18°C), with recent May 13 observations of blustery showers capping maxima at 15°C. Model consensus indicates limited intensification potential, though drier evening spells could nudge toward 14°C; final hourly observations will resolve the market.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in London on May 14?
Highest temperature in London on May 14?
12°C 39%
13°C 27%
11°C 15.1%
14°C 14%
$82,009 Vol.
$82,009 Vol.
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
5%
11°C
15%
12°C
39%
13°C
27%
14°C
14%
15°C
2%
16°C
1%
17°C or higher
<1%
12°C 39%
13°C 27%
11°C 15.1%
14°C 14%
$82,009 Vol.
$82,009 Vol.
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
5%
11°C
15%
12°C
39%
13°C
27%
14°C
14%
15°C
2%
16°C
1%
17°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 12, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a highest temperature of 12°C (44.5% implied probability) at London City Airport on May 14, driven by the latest Met Office forecast updated late May 13 projecting a daytime maximum of 13°C with hourly peaks at 12°C around mid-afternoon, amid light showers, northerly winds gusting to 21 mph, and precipitation chances peaking at 70-80%. BBC Weather aligns with a 13°C high under cloudier conditions from the west, scattered showers, and a slight thunder risk, suppressing solar heating through extensive cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Northerly airflow advects cooler air masses below mid-May climatological norms (typically 16-18°C), with recent May 13 observations of blustery showers capping maxima at 15°C. Model consensus indicates limited intensification potential, though drier evening spells could nudge toward 14°C; final hourly observations will resolve the market.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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