Trader consensus has locked in at 26°C for Mexico City’s highest temperature on August 14 because official station observations from Mexico’s national meteorological service recorded this precise maximum. Mid-August climatology typically shows daily highs between 24–27°C, modulated by the urban heat island, elevation around 2,240 meters, and seasonal convective activity. Recent model guidance from regional forecasts aligned with this value, leaving little room for deviation once preliminary data were released. Only substantial post-validation corrections at the primary reporting site could alter the outcome, an infrequent occurrence once initial measurements are confirmed.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Mexico le 14 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Mexico le 14 août ?
26°C 100.0%
19°C ou moins <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$25,832 Vol.
$25,832 Vol.
14 août 2026
19°C ou moins
Non
20°C
Non
21°C
Non
22°C
Non
23°C
Non
24°C
Non
25°C
Non
26°C
Oui
27°C
Non
28°C
Non
29°C ou plus
Non
26°C 100.0%
19°C ou moins <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$25,832 Vol.
$25,832 Vol.
14 août 2026
19°C ou moins
$206 Vol.
Non
20°C
$229 Vol.
Non
21°C
$870 Vol.
Non
22°C
$1,373 Vol.
Non
23°C
$3,247 Vol.
Non
24°C
$3,367 Vol.
Non
25°C
$5,199 Vol.
Non
26°C
$6,711 Vol.
Oui
27°C
$1,940 Vol.
Non
28°C
$1,104 Vol.
Non
29°C ou plus
$1,586 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus has locked in at 26°C for Mexico City’s highest temperature on August 14 because official station observations from Mexico’s national meteorological service recorded this precise maximum. Mid-August climatology typically shows daily highs between 24–27°C, modulated by the urban heat island, elevation around 2,240 meters, and seasonal convective activity. Recent model guidance from regional forecasts aligned with this value, leaving little room for deviation once preliminary data were released. Only substantial post-validation corrections at the primary reporting site could alter the outcome, an infrequent occurrence once initial measurements are confirmed.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volume
$25,832Date de fin
14 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus has locked in at 26°C for Mexico City’s highest temperature on August 14 because official station observations from Mexico’s national meteorological service recorded this precise maximum. Mid-August climatology typically shows daily highs between 24–27°C, modulated by the urban heat island, elevation around 2,240 meters, and seasonal convective activity. Recent model guidance from regional forecasts aligned with this value, leaving little room for deviation once preliminary data were released. Only substantial post-validation corrections at the primary reporting site could alter the outcome, an infrequent occurrence once initial measurements are confirmed.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$25,832Date de fin
14 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Trader consensus has locked in at 26°C for Mexico City’s highest temperature on August 14 because official station observations from Mexico’s national meteorological service recorded this precise maximum. Mid-August climatology typically shows daily highs between 24–27°C, modulated by the urban heat island, elevation around 2,240 meters, and seasonal convective activity. Recent model guidance from regional forecasts aligned with this value, leaving little room for deviation once preliminary data were released. Only substantial post-validation corrections at the primary reporting site could alter the outcome, an infrequent occurrence once initial measurements are confirmed.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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