Recent forecasts from models and the Israel Meteorological Service point to a high near 33–34°C in Tel Aviv on August 11, consistent with late-summer Mediterranean climatology where sea breezes moderate extremes but subsidence can elevate readings. Trader consensus favors 35°C as the most probable outcome because ensemble spreads and urban heat-island effects at official stations often add 1–2°C above regional averages, while the 26% implied probability on 36°C reflects residual uncertainty in the final model runs. No major heatwave signals have emerged in the past 48 hours, keeping lower outcomes under 5% combined. Updated guidance expected within 24 hours could narrow the distribution ahead of market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Tel Aviv le 11 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Tel Aviv le 11 août ?
35°C 45%
36°C 22%
34°C 15%
37°C 10%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
11 août 2026
31°C ou moins
4%
32°C
2%
33°C
3%
34°C
15%
35°C
45%
36°C
27%
37°C
10%
38°C
5%
39°C
3%
40°C
3%
41°C ou plus
<1%
35°C 45%
36°C 22%
34°C 15%
37°C 10%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
11 août 2026
31°C ou moins
$15 Vol.
4%
32°C
$32 Vol.
2%
33°C
$75 Vol.
3%
34°C
$300 Vol.
15%
35°C
$68 Vol.
45%
36°C
$455 Vol.
27%
37°C
$10 Vol.
10%
38°C
$42 Vol.
5%
39°C
$15 Vol.
3%
40°C
$15 Vol.
3%
41°C ou plus
$25 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models and the Israel Meteorological Service point to a high near 33–34°C in Tel Aviv on August 11, consistent with late-summer Mediterranean climatology where sea breezes moderate extremes but subsidence can elevate readings. Trader consensus favors 35°C as the most probable outcome because ensemble spreads and urban heat-island effects at official stations often add 1–2°C above regional averages, while the 26% implied probability on 36°C reflects residual uncertainty in the final model runs. No major heatwave signals have emerged in the past 48 hours, keeping lower outcomes under 5% combined. Updated guidance expected within 24 hours could narrow the distribution ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 9, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$1,031Date de fin
11 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 9, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models and the Israel Meteorological Service point to a high near 33–34°C in Tel Aviv on August 11, consistent with late-summer Mediterranean climatology where sea breezes moderate extremes but subsidence can elevate readings. Trader consensus favors 35°C as the most probable outcome because ensemble spreads and urban heat-island effects at official stations often add 1–2°C above regional averages, while the 26% implied probability on 36°C reflects residual uncertainty in the final model runs. No major heatwave signals have emerged in the past 48 hours, keeping lower outcomes under 5% combined. Updated guidance expected within 24 hours could narrow the distribution ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,031Date de fin
11 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 9, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from models and the Israel Meteorological Service point to a high near 33–34°C in Tel Aviv on August 11, consistent with late-summer Mediterranean climatology where sea breezes moderate extremes but subsidence can elevate readings. Trader consensus favors 35°C as the most probable outcome because ensemble spreads and urban heat-island effects at official stations often add 1–2°C above regional averages, while the 26% implied probability on 36°C reflects residual uncertainty in the final model runs. No major heatwave signals have emerged in the past 48 hours, keeping lower outcomes under 5% combined. Updated guidance expected within 24 hours could narrow the distribution ahead of market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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