**Latest numerical weather prediction models, including ECMWF and GFS runs, indicate a maximum temperature of 31–32°C in Tel Aviv on September 10 under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light northwest winds.** This consensus aligns with the market-implied odds heavily favoring 32°C (70%) over 33°C (26.5%), reflecting trader assessment of typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions. September climatology shows average daily highs near 30–31°C with minimal precipitation risk, and current guidance shows no significant deviation or heatwave signals. Minor model spread around peak afternoon values supports the narrow probability distribution, with final Israel Meteorological Service observations determining resolution. Updated model guidance later today could refine these implied probabilities before market close.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Tel Aviv le 10 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Tel Aviv le 10 septembre ?
32°C 71%
33°C 27%
31°C 3%
34°C 3%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
10 sept. 2026
29°C ou moins
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
3%
32°C
71%
33°C
27%
34°C
3%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C ou plus
<1%
32°C 71%
33°C 27%
31°C 3%
34°C 3%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
10 sept. 2026
29°C ou moins
$669 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$359 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$475 Vol.
3%
32°C
$1,645 Vol.
71%
33°C
$3,220 Vol.
27%
34°C
$308 Vol.
3%
35°C
$499 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$297 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$575 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$230 Vol.
<1%
39°C ou plus
$369 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest numerical weather prediction models, including ECMWF and GFS runs, indicate a maximum temperature of 31–32°C in Tel Aviv on September 10 under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light northwest winds.** This consensus aligns with the market-implied odds heavily favoring 32°C (70%) over 33°C (26.5%), reflecting trader assessment of typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions. September climatology shows average daily highs near 30–31°C with minimal precipitation risk, and current guidance shows no significant deviation or heatwave signals. Minor model spread around peak afternoon values supports the narrow probability distribution, with final Israel Meteorological Service observations determining resolution. Updated model guidance later today could refine these implied probabilities before market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$8,646Date de fin
10 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest numerical weather prediction models, including ECMWF and GFS runs, indicate a maximum temperature of 31–32°C in Tel Aviv on September 10 under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light northwest winds.** This consensus aligns with the market-implied odds heavily favoring 32°C (70%) over 33°C (26.5%), reflecting trader assessment of typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions. September climatology shows average daily highs near 30–31°C with minimal precipitation risk, and current guidance shows no significant deviation or heatwave signals. Minor model spread around peak afternoon values supports the narrow probability distribution, with final Israel Meteorological Service observations determining resolution. Updated model guidance later today could refine these implied probabilities before market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$8,646Date de fin
10 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...**Latest numerical weather prediction models, including ECMWF and GFS runs, indicate a maximum temperature of 31–32°C in Tel Aviv on September 10 under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light northwest winds.** This consensus aligns with the market-implied odds heavily favoring 32°C (70%) over 33°C (26.5%), reflecting trader assessment of typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions. September climatology shows average daily highs near 30–31°C with minimal precipitation risk, and current guidance shows no significant deviation or heatwave signals. Minor model spread around peak afternoon values supports the narrow probability distribution, with final Israel Meteorological Service observations determining resolution. Updated model guidance later today could refine these implied probabilities before market close.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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