**Trader consensus has converged on a 25°C daily maximum in Zhengzhou on September 11, 2026, at essentially 100% implied probability.** This positioning reflects real-time alignment between official forecasts, observational data, and model outputs showing the temperature peaked at that level under persistent cloud cover. Multiple sources, including GFS-based guidance and station forecasts, projected a high near 25°C (approximately 77–79°F), with afternoon readings topping out around that mark before cooling into the evening. Overcast conditions, light northerly or variable winds of 2–4 mph, and moderate humidity limited solar heating and convective development, keeping the peak from rising further. Current late-day observations around 20–22°C confirm the diurnal maximum has already occurred. The only realistic challenges would involve an official China Meteorological Administration station recording a slightly higher instantaneous value due to localized effects or revised quality-controlled data, or an unexpected late-day clearing that allowed brief additional warming. Given the tight clustering of model guidance and observed trends, such deviations remain highly improbable for market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Zhengzhou le 11 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Zhengzhou le 11 septembre ?
25°C 100.0%
22°C ou moins <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$6,288 Vol.
$6,288 Vol.
11 sept. 2026
22°C ou moins
Non
23°C
Non
24°C
Non
25°C
Oui
26°C
Non
27°C
Non
28°C
Non
29°C
Non
30°C
Non
31°C
Non
32°C ou plus
Non
25°C 100.0%
22°C ou moins <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$6,288 Vol.
$6,288 Vol.
11 sept. 2026
22°C ou moins
$70 Vol.
Non
23°C
$1,895 Vol.
Non
24°C
$1,051 Vol.
Non
25°C
$595 Vol.
Oui
26°C
$485 Vol.
Non
27°C
$222 Vol.
Non
28°C
$229 Vol.
Non
29°C
$1,089 Vol.
Non
30°C
$97 Vol.
Non
31°C
$350 Vol.
Non
32°C ou plus
$205 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has converged on a 25°C daily maximum in Zhengzhou on September 11, 2026, at essentially 100% implied probability.** This positioning reflects real-time alignment between official forecasts, observational data, and model outputs showing the temperature peaked at that level under persistent cloud cover.
Multiple sources, including GFS-based guidance and station forecasts, projected a high near 25°C (approximately 77–79°F), with afternoon readings topping out around that mark before cooling into the evening. Overcast conditions, light northerly or variable winds of 2–4 mph, and moderate humidity limited solar heating and convective development, keeping the peak from rising further. Current late-day observations around 20–22°C confirm the diurnal maximum has already occurred.
The only realistic challenges would involve an official China Meteorological Administration station recording a slightly higher instantaneous value due to localized effects or revised quality-controlled data, or an unexpected late-day clearing that allowed brief additional warming. Given the tight clustering of model guidance and observed trends, such deviations remain highly improbable for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 10, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$6,288Date de fin
11 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 10, 2026, 12:55 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has converged on a 25°C daily maximum in Zhengzhou on September 11, 2026, at essentially 100% implied probability.** This positioning reflects real-time alignment between official forecasts, observational data, and model outputs showing the temperature peaked at that level under persistent cloud cover.
Multiple sources, including GFS-based guidance and station forecasts, projected a high near 25°C (approximately 77–79°F), with afternoon readings topping out around that mark before cooling into the evening. Overcast conditions, light northerly or variable winds of 2–4 mph, and moderate humidity limited solar heating and convective development, keeping the peak from rising further. Current late-day observations around 20–22°C confirm the diurnal maximum has already occurred.
The only realistic challenges would involve an official China Meteorological Administration station recording a slightly higher instantaneous value due to localized effects or revised quality-controlled data, or an unexpected late-day clearing that allowed brief additional warming. Given the tight clustering of model guidance and observed trends, such deviations remain highly improbable for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,288Date de fin
11 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 10, 2026, 12:55 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
**Trader consensus has converged on a 25°C daily maximum in Zhengzhou on September 11, 2026, at essentially 100% implied probability.** This positioning reflects real-time alignment between official forecasts, observational data, and model outputs showing the temperature peaked at that level under persistent cloud cover. Multiple sources, including GFS-based guidance and station forecasts, projected a high near 25°C (approximately 77–79°F), with afternoon readings topping out around that mark before cooling into the evening. Overcast conditions, light northerly or variable winds of 2–4 mph, and moderate humidity limited solar heating and convective development, keeping the peak from rising further. Current late-day observations around 20–22°C confirm the diurnal maximum has already occurred. The only realistic challenges would involve an official China Meteorological Administration station recording a slightly higher instantaneous value due to localized effects or revised quality-controlled data, or an unexpected late-day clearing that allowed brief additional warming. Given the tight clustering of model guidance and observed trends, such deviations remain highly improbable for market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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