Trader consensus positions outcomes of 8 or more magnitude 5.5+ earthquakes as most likely for June 15–21, reflecting the typical global weekly rate of roughly 10–15 such events documented by USGS catalogs, augmented by aftershock sequences from the M7.8 Mindanao earthquake on June 8. Subduction zones in the Philippines and other tectonically active regions continue to generate clustered seismicity that can elevate short-term counts above background levels governed by the Gutenberg-Richter distribution. Stochastic variability remains high, with no deterministic short-term forecasts available from monitoring agencies, though ongoing USGS real-time catalogs will track whether aftershocks sustain elevated activity into the resolution window.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourCombien de tremblements de terre de 5,5 ou plus entre le 15 et le 21 juin ?
Combien de tremblements de terre de 5,5 ou plus entre le 15 et le 21 juin ?
>9 47%
9 19%
8 12%
7 11%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
21 juin 2026
≤5
11%
6
9%
7
11%
8
12%
9
19%
>9
47%
>9 47%
9 19%
8 12%
7 11%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
21 juin 2026
≤5
$246 Vol.
11%
6
$40 Vol.
9%
7
$42 Vol.
11%
8
$40 Vol.
12%
9
$58 Vol.
19%
>9
$553 Vol.
47%
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between June 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and June 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.Trader consensus positions outcomes of 8 or more magnitude 5.5+ earthquakes as most likely for June 15–21, reflecting the typical global weekly rate of roughly 10–15 such events documented by USGS catalogs, augmented by aftershock sequences from the M7.8 Mindanao earthquake on June 8. Subduction zones in the Philippines and other tectonically active regions continue to generate clustered seismicity that can elevate short-term counts above background levels governed by the Gutenberg-Richter distribution. Stochastic variability remains high, with no deterministic short-term forecasts available from monitoring agencies, though ongoing USGS real-time catalogs will track whether aftershocks sustain elevated activity into the resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between June 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and June 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Marché ouvert : Jun 12, 2026, 1:49 PM ET
Volume
$980Date de fin
21 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 12, 2026, 1:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between June 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and June 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.Trader consensus positions outcomes of 8 or more magnitude 5.5+ earthquakes as most likely for June 15–21, reflecting the typical global weekly rate of roughly 10–15 such events documented by USGS catalogs, augmented by aftershock sequences from the M7.8 Mindanao earthquake on June 8. Subduction zones in the Philippines and other tectonically active regions continue to generate clustered seismicity that can elevate short-term counts above background levels governed by the Gutenberg-Richter distribution. Stochastic variability remains high, with no deterministic short-term forecasts available from monitoring agencies, though ongoing USGS real-time catalogs will track whether aftershocks sustain elevated activity into the resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between June 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and June 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Volume
$980Date de fin
21 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 12, 2026, 1:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus positions outcomes of 8 or more magnitude 5.5+ earthquakes as most likely for June 15–21, reflecting the typical global weekly rate of roughly 10–15 such events documented by USGS catalogs, augmented by aftershock sequences from the M7.8 Mindanao earthquake on June 8. Subduction zones in the Philippines and other tectonically active regions continue to generate clustered seismicity that can elevate short-term counts above background levels governed by the Gutenberg-Richter distribution. Stochastic variability remains high, with no deterministic short-term forecasts available from monitoring agencies, though ongoing USGS real-time catalogs will track whether aftershocks sustain elevated activity into the resolution window.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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