The April 28-29 FOMC meeting’s record four dissents over an easing bias in the policy statement, driven by inflation readings still above the 2% target and concerns that the next federal funds rate move could be a hike rather than a cut, have prompted expectations of greater internal alignment at the June 16-17 gathering. Subsequent May CPI and nonfarm payrolls releases, combined with incoming leadership communications, have reinforced a neutral-to-hawkish stance with the federal funds rate held at 3.50%-3.75%. Futures markets now assign less than a 10% probability to any 2026 easing, narrowing the scope for renewed divisions. These factors position zero dissents as the dominant market-implied outcome at 73.5%, while the 15% odds on a single dissent reflect lingering uncertainty around inflation persistence and the 7% and 6.5% probabilities on two or three dissents align with the committee’s recent convergence.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHow many dissent at the next Fed meeting?
How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?
0 74%
1 17%
2 7%
3 6%
$19,356 Vol.
$19,356 Vol.
17 juin 2026
0
74%
1
15%
2
7%
3
6%
4+
2%
0 74%
1 17%
2 7%
3 6%
$19,356 Vol.
$19,356 Vol.
17 juin 2026
0
$12,789 Vol.
74%
1
$372 Vol.
15%
2
$155 Vol.
7%
3
$856 Vol.
6%
4+
$5,184 Vol.
2%
The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for June 16-17, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on June 17, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The April 28-29 FOMC meeting’s record four dissents over an easing bias in the policy statement, driven by inflation readings still above the 2% target and concerns that the next federal funds rate move could be a hike rather than a cut, have prompted expectations of greater internal alignment at the June 16-17 gathering. Subsequent May CPI and nonfarm payrolls releases, combined with incoming leadership communications, have reinforced a neutral-to-hawkish stance with the federal funds rate held at 3.50%-3.75%. Futures markets now assign less than a 10% probability to any 2026 easing, narrowing the scope for renewed divisions. These factors position zero dissents as the dominant market-implied outcome at 73.5%, while the 15% odds on a single dissent reflect lingering uncertainty around inflation persistence and the 7% and 6.5% probabilities on two or three dissents align with the committee’s recent convergence.
The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for June 16-17, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on June 17, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Marché ouvert : Apr 29, 2026, 7:50 PM ET
Volume
$19,356Date de fin
17 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 29, 2026, 7:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for June 16-17, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on June 17, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The April 28-29 FOMC meeting’s record four dissents over an easing bias in the policy statement, driven by inflation readings still above the 2% target and concerns that the next federal funds rate move could be a hike rather than a cut, have prompted expectations of greater internal alignment at the June 16-17 gathering. Subsequent May CPI and nonfarm payrolls releases, combined with incoming leadership communications, have reinforced a neutral-to-hawkish stance with the federal funds rate held at 3.50%-3.75%. Futures markets now assign less than a 10% probability to any 2026 easing, narrowing the scope for renewed divisions. These factors position zero dissents as the dominant market-implied outcome at 73.5%, while the 15% odds on a single dissent reflect lingering uncertainty around inflation persistence and the 7% and 6.5% probabilities on two or three dissents align with the committee’s recent convergence.
The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for June 16-17, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on June 17, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$19,356Date de fin
17 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 29, 2026, 7:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The April 28-29 FOMC meeting’s record four dissents over an easing bias in the policy statement, driven by inflation readings still above the 2% target and concerns that the next federal funds rate move could be a hike rather than a cut, have prompted expectations of greater internal alignment at the June 16-17 gathering. Subsequent May CPI and nonfarm payrolls releases, combined with incoming leadership communications, have reinforced a neutral-to-hawkish stance with the federal funds rate held at 3.50%-3.75%. Futures markets now assign less than a 10% probability to any 2026 easing, narrowing the scope for renewed divisions. These factors position zero dissents as the dominant market-implied outcome at 73.5%, while the 15% odds on a single dissent reflect lingering uncertainty around inflation persistence and the 7% and 6.5% probabilities on two or three dissents align with the committee’s recent convergence.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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