Israeli airspace has remained open since multiple temporary closures during the February–July 2026 Iran conflict and subsequent Iranian missile and drone responses. Recent developments include a June 8 temporary shutdown after intercepting a Yemen-launched missile and July warnings from EASA amid renewed regional military activity near the Strait of Hormuz following the breakdown of the US-Iran ceasefire. Transportation Minister Miri Regev and aviation officials have repeatedly assessed that operations at Ben-Gurion Airport continue under monitoring, with preparations noted for potential closure only if attacks from Iran or Hezbollah intensify. Trader consensus reflects this stability, assigning low near-term probabilities amid ongoing but contained volatility and no immediate escalation signals.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$27,114,970 Vol.
15 juil. 2026
31 août
3%
$27,114,970 Vol.
31 août
$1,083,090 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel initiates a major closure of its airspace by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or complete suspension of commercial aviation across the entirety of Israeli civilian airspace or a region encompassing a majority of Israeli civilian airspace, including commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from that airspace. A qualifying closure must apply generally to all flights across Israel or a qualifying subset of Israeli airspace. Limited cancellations, delays, temporary ground stops or isolated regional closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain pre-approved flights may be permitted).
Warnings, No-Fly-Zones, flight suspensions, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Israel will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.
Airspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israeli aviation authorities; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Israeli airspace has remained open since multiple temporary closures during the February–July 2026 Iran conflict and subsequent Iranian missile and drone responses. Recent developments include a June 8 temporary shutdown after intercepting a Yemen-launched missile and July warnings from EASA amid renewed regional military activity near the Strait of Hormuz following the breakdown of the US-Iran ceasefire. Transportation Minister Miri Regev and aviation officials have repeatedly assessed that operations at Ben-Gurion Airport continue under monitoring, with preparations noted for potential closure only if attacks from Iran or Hezbollah intensify. Trader consensus reflects this stability, assigning low near-term probabilities amid ongoing but contained volatility and no immediate escalation signals.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel initiates a major closure of its airspace by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or complete suspension of commercial aviation across the entirety of Israeli civilian airspace or a region encompassing a majority of Israeli civilian airspace, including commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from that airspace. A qualifying closure must apply generally to all flights across Israel or a qualifying subset of Israeli airspace. Limited cancellations, delays, temporary ground stops or isolated regional closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain pre-approved flights may be permitted).
Warnings, No-Fly-Zones, flight suspensions, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Israel will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.
Airspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israeli aviation authorities; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or complete suspension of commercial aviation across the entirety of Israeli civilian airspace or a region encompassing a majority of Israeli civilian airspace, including commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from that airspace. A qualifying closure must apply generally to all flights across Israel or a qualifying subset of Israeli airspace. Limited cancellations, delays, temporary ground stops or isolated regional closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain pre-approved flights may be permitted).
Warnings, No-Fly-Zones, flight suspensions, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Israel will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.
Airspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israeli aviation authorities; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Jun 29, 2026, 10:46 AM ET
Volume
$27,114,970Date de fin
31 mai 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 29, 2026, 10:46 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel initiates a major closure of its airspace by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or complete suspension of commercial aviation across the entirety of Israeli civilian airspace or a region encompassing a majority of Israeli civilian airspace, including commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from that airspace. A qualifying closure must apply generally to all flights across Israel or a qualifying subset of Israeli airspace. Limited cancellations, delays, temporary ground stops or isolated regional closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain pre-approved flights may be permitted).
Warnings, No-Fly-Zones, flight suspensions, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Israel will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.
Airspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israeli aviation authorities; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Israeli airspace has remained open since multiple temporary closures during the February–July 2026 Iran conflict and subsequent Iranian missile and drone responses. Recent developments include a June 8 temporary shutdown after intercepting a Yemen-launched missile and July warnings from EASA amid renewed regional military activity near the Strait of Hormuz following the breakdown of the US-Iran ceasefire. Transportation Minister Miri Regev and aviation officials have repeatedly assessed that operations at Ben-Gurion Airport continue under monitoring, with preparations noted for potential closure only if attacks from Iran or Hezbollah intensify. Trader consensus reflects this stability, assigning low near-term probabilities amid ongoing but contained volatility and no immediate escalation signals.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel initiates a major closure of its airspace by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or complete suspension of commercial aviation across the entirety of Israeli civilian airspace or a region encompassing a majority of Israeli civilian airspace, including commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from that airspace. A qualifying closure must apply generally to all flights across Israel or a qualifying subset of Israeli airspace. Limited cancellations, delays, temporary ground stops or isolated regional closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain pre-approved flights may be permitted).
Warnings, No-Fly-Zones, flight suspensions, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Israel will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.
Airspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israeli aviation authorities; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or complete suspension of commercial aviation across the entirety of Israeli civilian airspace or a region encompassing a majority of Israeli civilian airspace, including commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from that airspace. A qualifying closure must apply generally to all flights across Israel or a qualifying subset of Israeli airspace. Limited cancellations, delays, temporary ground stops or isolated regional closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain pre-approved flights may be permitted).
Warnings, No-Fly-Zones, flight suspensions, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Israel will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.
Airspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israeli aviation authorities; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$27,114,970Date de fin
31 mai 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 29, 2026, 10:46 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Israeli airspace has remained open since multiple temporary closures during the February–July 2026 Iran conflict and subsequent Iranian missile and drone responses. Recent developments include a June 8 temporary shutdown after intercepting a Yemen-launched missile and July warnings from EASA amid renewed regional military activity near the Strait of Hormuz following the breakdown of the US-Iran ceasefire. Transportation Minister Miri Regev and aviation officials have repeatedly assessed that operations at Ben-Gurion Airport continue under monitoring, with preparations noted for potential closure only if attacks from Iran or Hezbollah intensify. Trader consensus reflects this stability, assigning low near-term probabilities amid ongoing but contained volatility and no immediate escalation signals.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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