**Mojtaba Khamenei, Iran's Supreme Leader since his father's death in February 2026, maintains a low-frequency social media presence amid ongoing security concerns and recovery from wounds sustained in the initial strikes.** His verified X account (@MKhamenei_ir) issues occasional written statements on topics such as economic policy, resistance messaging, and religious observances, with recent activity limited to a handful of posts around August 28–29. Traders price the <5 outcome at 85.3% because his communications remain tightly controlled for protection reasons, often delegated to office staff or broadcast via state media rather than direct daily posting. Archival footage releases and presidential assurances of his health in late August have not signaled any increase in output. The one-week window through September 4 includes events like Islamic Unity Week, but historical patterns and current constraints point to continued restraint in original posts across official channels.