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icon for Khamenei # posts 1er septembre - 8 septembre 2026 ?

Khamenei # posts 1er septembre - 8 septembre 2026 ?

icon for Khamenei # posts 1er septembre - 8 septembre 2026 ?

Khamenei # posts 1er septembre - 8 septembre 2026 ?

<5 84%

10-14 9.0%

5-9 9%

15-19 7.1%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

<5 84%

10-14 9.0%

5-9 9%

15-19 7.1%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

<5

$268 Vol.

84%

5-9

$0 Vol.

9%

10-14

$0 Vol.

9%

15-19

$0 Vol.

7%

20-24

$0 Vol.

2%

25-29

$0 Vol.

2%

30-34

$8 Vol.

2%

35-39

$8 Vol.

1%

40-44

$8 Vol.

1%

45-49

$8 Vol.

1%

50-54

$8 Vol.

1%

55-59

$8 Vol.

1%

60+

$8 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 1, 12:00 PM ET and September 8, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Trader consensus strongly favors fewer than five posts by the Khamenei accounts in the September 1–8 window, reflecting the Supreme Leader’s prolonged low public profile and limited social media output.** Mojtaba Khamenei, elevated after his father’s assassination amid ongoing regional conflict, has issued only occasional written statements while remaining unseen in video or audio since March, citing security and recovery needs. Official X accounts, including @khamenei_ir, faced suspensions or reduced activity earlier in 2026, shifting emphasis to archival or delegated content rather than original daily posts. Recent Iranian official statements affirming the leader’s involvement in decision-making have not translated into increased posting volume, consistent with a pattern of minimal direct engagement during periods of heightened tension. This environment supports the market’s pricing of very low activity, with traders viewing scheduled or ad-hoc statements as the primary variable that could modestly raise totals within the narrow resolution period.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 1, 12:00 PM ET and September 8, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$324
Date de fin
8 sept. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 29, 2026, 12:00 AM ET

Source de résolution

https://x.com/khamenei_ir

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 1, 12:00 PM ET and September 8, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 1, 12:00 PM ET and September 8, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Trader consensus strongly favors fewer than five posts by the Khamenei accounts in the September 1–8 window, reflecting the Supreme Leader’s prolonged low public profile and limited social media output.** Mojtaba Khamenei, elevated after his father’s assassination amid ongoing regional conflict, has issued only occasional written statements while remaining unseen in video or audio since March, citing security and recovery needs. Official X accounts, including @khamenei_ir, faced suspensions or reduced activity earlier in 2026, shifting emphasis to archival or delegated content rather than original daily posts. Recent Iranian official statements affirming the leader’s involvement in decision-making have not translated into increased posting volume, consistent with a pattern of minimal direct engagement during periods of heightened tension. This environment supports the market’s pricing of very low activity, with traders viewing scheduled or ad-hoc statements as the primary variable that could modestly raise totals within the narrow resolution period.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 1, 12:00 PM ET and September 8, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$324
Date de fin
8 sept. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 29, 2026, 12:00 AM ET

Source de résolution

https://x.com/khamenei_ir

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 1, 12:00 PM ET and September 8, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

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Questions fréquentes

« Khamenei # posts 1er septembre - 8 septembre 2026 ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 13 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « <5 » à 84%, suivi de « 5-9 » à 9%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 84¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 84% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Khamenei # posts 1er septembre - 8 septembre 2026 ? » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Aug 29, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Khamenei # posts 1er septembre - 8 septembre 2026 ? », parcourez les 13 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Khamenei # posts 1er septembre - 8 septembre 2026 ? » est « <5 » à 84%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 84% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 5-9 » à 9%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Khamenei # posts 1er septembre - 8 septembre 2026 ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.