Ayatollah Ali Khamenei’s official X account maintains low posting volume following his death in U.S.-Israeli strikes, with activity limited to occasional archival statements or prepared content rather than new leadership messages. Recent examples show gaps of several days between posts, consistent with the account’s established pattern of sporadic output tied to institutional communications rather than daily engagement. No scheduled events, diplomatic summits, or escalations in the Iran-Israel conflict are set to trigger heightened activity during June 12-19. Trader consensus therefore assigns an 87% probability to fewer than five posts, reflecting the structural constraints on the account’s output amid the post-succession environment.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourKhamenei # posts June 12 - June 19, 2026?
Khamenei # posts June 12 - June 19, 2026?
<5 87%
5-9 7%
20-24 4.0%
15-19 3.8%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
19 juin 2026
<5
87%
5-9
7%
10-14
1%
15-19
4%
20-24
4%
25-29
3%
30-34
3%
35-39
<1%
40-44
<1%
45-49
<1%
50-54
1%
55-59
1%
60+
1%
<5 87%
5-9 7%
20-24 4.0%
15-19 3.8%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
19 juin 2026
<5
$294 Vol.
87%
5-9
$61 Vol.
7%
10-14
$70 Vol.
1%
15-19
$80 Vol.
4%
20-24
$88 Vol.
4%
25-29
$70 Vol.
3%
30-34
$73 Vol.
3%
35-39
$50 Vol.
<1%
40-44
$61 Vol.
<1%
45-49
$50 Vol.
<1%
50-54
$94 Vol.
1%
55-59
$40 Vol.
1%
60+
$38 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between June 12, 12:00 PM ET and June 19, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Ayatollah Ali Khamenei’s official X account maintains low posting volume following his death in U.S.-Israeli strikes, with activity limited to occasional archival statements or prepared content rather than new leadership messages. Recent examples show gaps of several days between posts, consistent with the account’s established pattern of sporadic output tied to institutional communications rather than daily engagement. No scheduled events, diplomatic summits, or escalations in the Iran-Israel conflict are set to trigger heightened activity during June 12-19. Trader consensus therefore assigns an 87% probability to fewer than five posts, reflecting the structural constraints on the account’s output amid the post-succession environment.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between June 12, 12:00 PM ET and June 19, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Marché ouvert : Jun 9, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Volume
$1,069Date de fin
19 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 9, 2026, 12:01 AM ETSource de résolution
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between June 12, 12:00 PM ET and June 19, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Ayatollah Ali Khamenei’s official X account maintains low posting volume following his death in U.S.-Israeli strikes, with activity limited to occasional archival statements or prepared content rather than new leadership messages. Recent examples show gaps of several days between posts, consistent with the account’s established pattern of sporadic output tied to institutional communications rather than daily engagement. No scheduled events, diplomatic summits, or escalations in the Iran-Israel conflict are set to trigger heightened activity during June 12-19. Trader consensus therefore assigns an 87% probability to fewer than five posts, reflecting the structural constraints on the account’s output amid the post-succession environment.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between June 12, 12:00 PM ET and June 19, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$1,069Date de fin
19 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 9, 2026, 12:01 AM ETSource de résolution
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ayatollah Ali Khamenei’s official X account maintains low posting volume following his death in U.S.-Israeli strikes, with activity limited to occasional archival statements or prepared content rather than new leadership messages. Recent examples show gaps of several days between posts, consistent with the account’s established pattern of sporadic output tied to institutional communications rather than daily engagement. No scheduled events, diplomatic summits, or escalations in the Iran-Israel conflict are set to trigger heightened activity during June 12-19. Trader consensus therefore assigns an 87% probability to fewer than five posts, reflecting the structural constraints on the account’s output amid the post-succession environment.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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